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UBS sees upside in Cullinan Oncology stock as key trials approach

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 10/24/2024, 04:17 AM
CGEM
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On Thursday, UBS initiated coverage on Cullinan Oncology Inc. (NASDAQ: CGEM) stock, issuing a Buy rating and setting a price target of $30.00. The firm's analysis suggests that Cullinan's leading program, CLN-978, has the potential to emerge as a top autoimmune therapy. The optimism is based on the program's capacity to offer broad and durable efficacy, a clean safety profile, and convenient dosing.

According to UBS, the market is currently undervaluing CLN-978, with the firm estimating its risk-adjusted peak revenue at approximately $1.6 billion, which surpasses the consensus estimate of about $1.1 billion. UBS indicates that the drug could yield significant financial returns for Cullinan Oncology.

The firm highlighted several upcoming catalysts within the next 12 months that could drive the stock's value higher. These include expected Phase 1 trial data for CLN-978 in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), anticipated in 2025, initial expansion data for CLN-619 in treating endometrial and cervical cancers in the first half of 2025, and pivotal Phase 2b data for zipalertinib in second-line or later lung cancer treatments, also likely to emerge in 2025.

Cullinan Oncology's diverse portfolio, particularly the highlighted programs, are at the forefront of the firm's optimistic outlook. UBS' coverage initiation and the set price target reflect confidence in the company's research and development trajectory, as well as its potential for growth in the oncology sector.

In other recent news, Cullinan Oncology has received FDA approval for its Investigational New Drug (IND) application, marking a significant step forward in its global Phase 1 trial for CLN-978, a potential treatment for systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE).

This development comes in the wake of Cullinan's lower-than-expected Q1 loss of $0.86 per share, outperforming the projected loss of $0.94. Meanwhile, analysts from H.C. Wainwright, BTIG, and Morgan Stanley have maintained their positive ratings for the company, with price targets of $28, $30, and $38 respectively.

Cullinan has also reported promising clinical trial data for its drug zipalertinib, showing a 40% objective response rate in treating non-small cell lung cancer, a finding supported by TD Cowen and H.C. Wainwright. Furthermore, the company has welcomed Mary Kay Fenton as its new Chief Financial Officer and elected Anne-Marie Martin, Ph.D., and David Meek as Class I directors to the Board. These are among the recent developments shaping the trajectory of Cullinan Oncology.

InvestingPro Insights

Cullinan Oncology's financial landscape offers intriguing insights that complement UBS's optimistic outlook. According to InvestingPro data, the company's market capitalization stands at $905.02 million, reflecting its current market valuation. Despite the positive analyst coverage, it's worth noting that Cullinan is not currently profitable, with a negative P/E ratio of -6.38 over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024.

However, aligning with UBS's long-term perspective, InvestingPro Tips highlight that Cullinan holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, indicating financial stability that could support its ambitious research and development programs. This strong liquidity position is further emphasized by another tip stating that the company's liquid assets exceed short-term obligations, potentially providing the financial flexibility needed to advance its promising drug candidates.

Interestingly, while UBS sets a $30 price target, InvestingPro's fair value estimate stands at $16.16, with analyst targets suggesting a fair value of $30.5. This discrepancy in valuations underscores the speculative nature of biotech investments and the potential upside if Cullinan's pipeline delivers on its promise.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 5 additional tips that could provide further insights into Cullinan Oncology's investment potential. These additional tips could be particularly valuable in assessing the company's prospects in light of its upcoming catalysts and UBS's bullish stance.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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