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UBS lifts RTX Corp stock target, retains neutral on strong military growth

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 10/23/2024, 08:59 AM
RTX
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On Wednesday, UBS analyst Gavin Parsons (NYSE:PSN) updated the financial outlook for RTX Corp. (NYSE: RTX), increasing the price target to $133.00 from $126.00, while maintaining a Neutral rating on the stock. The adjustment follows RTX Corp.'s reported revenue surge, primarily driven by robust growth in its military sector. The company has also lifted its profit forecasts for its Pratt and Raytheon (NYSE:RTN) divisions.

RTX Corp. has seen a favorable book-to-bill ratio, which indicates strong future revenue potential. Specifically, the total company book-to-bill stands at 1.8 times, with Raytheon's ratio even higher at 2.6 times. This suggests continued growth into the fourth quarter and beyond.

However, RTX Corp. has adjusted its revenue outlook downward due to the impact of the Boeing (NYSE:BA) strike on original equipment (OE) demand, which is expected to be a temporary setback.

Despite the lowered revenue guidance, the demand for OE remains robust. To meet the full-year guidance, RTX Corp. will need a significant increase in margins, particularly in Collins Military and Commercial Aftermarket (AM) sectors. The company's free cash flow continues to face challenges from various factors, although the financial forecast for 2024 has been reaffirmed.

RTX Corp.'s stock has experienced a positive shift as the risks associated with its geared turbofan (GTF) engines have started to subside. The market is beginning to look past the current impacted period when valuing the stock.

There is potential for the company to surpass its projected GTF cash impact. However, clearer signs of core margin growth and underlying cash flow improvements are still anticipated by UBS to fully assess the stock's value.

In other recent news, RTX Corp. reported robust third-quarter 2024 results, surpassing consensus predictions in revenues, earnings per share (EPS), and free cash flow. Despite a shortfall in segment earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) due to the Collins division's lower-than-expected margin, the company updated its full-year 2024 guidance, increasing revenue forecasts by 0.5% and EPS projections by 2.5%.

Goldman Sachs maintained a Neutral rating on RTX, acknowledging the company's solid long-term fundamentals but expressing concerns over the Collins division's margin, defense market exposure, and uncertainties surrounding the Geared Turbofan (GTF) engine.

BofA Securities raised their price target on RTX to $145.00, maintaining a Buy rating, and emphasized the company's strong performance in the Defense sector and steady Commercial Aerospace operations.

RTX also reported an 8% organic sales growth, attributed to strong demand in the commercial aftermarket and defense sectors. The company adjusted its full-year sales outlook to a range of $79.25 billion to $79.75 billion and EPS to between $5.50 and $5.58.

In addition, RTX reported a record backlog of $221 billion and returns of $10.3 billion to shareholders. The company secured notable contracts including a $1.3 billion deal for the F135 engine upgrade and a $470 million contract for air traffic control systems.

Despite supply chain and inflation issues, RTX anticipates continued organic sales growth and margin expansion. These recent developments indicate a robust financial performance for RTX, with analysts pointing out the company's substantial backlog and successful bookings.

InvestingPro Insights

RTX Corp.'s recent performance aligns with several key insights from InvestingPro. The company's revenue growth of 17.82% over the last twelve months, coupled with a significant 49.21% quarterly revenue growth, underscores the robust demand mentioned in the article, particularly in the military sector. This growth trajectory is further supported by an InvestingPro Tip indicating that net income is expected to grow this year.

The article's mention of RTX's favorable book-to-bill ratio and potential for continued growth is reinforced by the company's strong financial position. With a market capitalization of $166.71 billion and an EBITDA growth of 30.18% over the last twelve months, RTX demonstrates solid financial health.

Moreover, an InvestingPro Tip highlights that RTX has maintained dividend payments for 54 consecutive years, reflecting the company's long-term stability and commitment to shareholder returns.

While the article notes some challenges, including the impact of the Boeing strike on revenue outlook, RTX's overall performance remains strong. The stock's 76.04% total return over the past year and its trading near its 52-week high (97.54% of the high) suggest that investors are indeed looking past temporary setbacks, as mentioned in the article.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 11 additional tips for RTX, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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