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UBS lifts Home Depot stock target, retains buy rating on robust earnings outlook

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 08/14/2024, 08:19 AM
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On Wednesday, UBS has increased its stock price target for Home Depot shares (NYSE:HD) to $425, up from the previous $400, while maintaining a Buy rating. The adjustment follows Home Depot's second-quarter results, which showed a mix of strengths despite broader consumer weakness observed in recent months. The company reported a comparable store sales decline of 3.3% for the quarter, with a 3.6% decrease in the United States.

The analysis by UBS highlighted that Home Depot is effectively managing its profit and loss statement and that the integration of recently acquired SRS Distribution is expected to contribute positively to the company's long-term financial strategy. This acquisition is anticipated to tilt the balance in favor of Home Depot's upside potential.

Moreover, UBS pointed out that future earnings estimates for Home Depot are likely to be adjusted to reflect income on an excluding acquired intangible asset amortization basis. This accounting change is projected to have no effect on the company's cash flow valuation but will result in a lower appearance of the stock's price-to-earnings ratio by about $0.30 per share, making it more attractive to investors.

The firm believes that these elements will contribute to a strong earnings profile for Home Depot as the home improvement sector rebounds. UBS recommends maintaining investments in Home Depot's stock, predicting that its value will rise in anticipation of a market upturn.

In other recent news, Home Depot saw a slight increase in its second-quarter sales for fiscal 2024, reaching $43.2 billion, a 0.6% rise from the previous year's quarter. However, the company also reported a 3.3% decline in comparable sales, with a 3.6% drop observed in U.S. stores. Adjusted diluted earnings per share were reported at $4.67, surpassing both Telsey Advisory Group's estimate of $4.64 and the FactSet consensus of $4.53.

Analysts from RBC Capital, Evercore ISI, Telsey Advisory Group, and Wolfe Research have made adjustments to their price targets and earnings estimates for Home Depot, citing concerns over consumer behavior, higher interest rates, and economic uncertainty. The company's strategic acquisition of SRS Distribution and efforts to preemptively import goods to mitigate potential cargo delays due to a possible strike at key seaports in October are among the recent developments.

Home Depot has also revised its full-year guidance, expecting a decrease in comparable store sales of between 4% and 3%, and an adjusted EPS decrease of 1%-3%. These updates are recent developments that investors should be aware of.

InvestingPro Insights

UBS's optimistic outlook on Home Depot (NYSE:HD) is complemented by several positive indicators from InvestingPro data. The company's market capitalization stands robust at $347.13 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the market. Despite a slight decline in revenue growth over the last twelve months, with a -2.52% change, Home Depot maintains a strong gross profit margin of 33.48%, suggesting efficient operations and cost management.

InvestingPro Tips reveal that Home Depot has a history of rewarding shareholders, having raised its dividend for 14 consecutive years and maintained dividend payments for 38 years, which is a testament to the company's financial stability and commitment to returning value to investors.

Moreover, the company is trading at a high Price / Book multiple, indicating that investors may currently be willing to pay a premium for its shares based on the company's book value. For those interested in a deeper dive into Home Depot's financials, InvestingPro offers additional tips and metrics to help investors make informed decisions.

With 15 analysts recently revising their earnings expectations downwards, it's essential for investors to consider the broader set of data and insights available. Home Depot's next earnings date is set for August 13, 2024, which will provide further clarity on the company's performance and trajectory. For a more comprehensive analysis, including further InvestingPro Tips on Home Depot, interested readers can explore the details at InvestingPro.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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