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UBS eyes Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce stock amid macro challenges

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 07/02/2024, 05:46 AM
CM
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On Tuesday, UBS began coverage on the Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM:CN) (NYSE: CM) stock, issuing a Neutral rating with a price target of C$70.00. The firm highlighted the bank's focus on affluent clients, its digitalization initiatives, and its efforts to further penetrate the U.S. market as potential avenues for value creation over time.

The bank is expected to see core earnings per share (EPS) growth of 5% in 2024 and 2025, demonstrating resilience in the face of macroeconomic challenges and normalizing credit costs. However, UBS anticipates below-target EPS growth due to the bank's concentration in Canadian lending, which is projected to grow in the low-single digits this year.

UBS forecasts a relatively steady return on equity (ROE) for the Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, estimating it to be around 13.0-13.5%. According to UBS, a clearer picture of improved returns could lead to an increase in the bank's valuation multiples.

The coverage initiation by UBS reflects an analysis of the bank's current financial health and market strategies. The Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce's commitment to affluent clients and technological advancements, along with its strategic growth in the U.S. market, are seen as key factors that could shape its financial trajectory in the upcoming years. UBS's set price target and expectations for the bank's performance provide investors with a gauge for the bank's future prospects.

In other recent news, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CIBC) and the Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) have been making headlines. CIBC reported a strong second quarter, with net income of $1.7 billion and earnings per share at $1.75.

The bank's capital position was robust, with a Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio of 13.1%. In addition, the bank achieved positive operating leverage of 50 basis points and expects mid single-digit range expense growth for the year.

On the other hand, CEOs of Canada's five largest banks, including CIBC and RBC, were questioned by the Canadian parliament about their climate change strategies. They acknowledged the importance of transitioning to more sustainable practices but highlighted the complexity of reducing funding for fossil fuel extraction. These banks financed approximately $104 billion to the fossil fuel sector last year, accounting for 13% of the value of global bank deals in this area.

In analyst notes, RBC Capital increased its price target for CIBC shares to Cdn$69.00 from the previous Cdn$68.00, while maintaining its Sector Perform rating. This follows CIBC's satisfactory quarterly results. Meanwhile, BMO Capital Markets analysts have flagged CIBC for its momentum in Canadian banking and peer-leading expense management.

These are recent developments that provide insight into the strategies and performances of these major Canadian banks.

InvestingPro Insights

For those closely following the Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM:CN) (NYSE: CM), current InvestingPro data highlights a robust financial foundation. The bank boasts a substantial market capitalization of $44.63 billion USD, reflecting its significant presence in the financial sector. Moreover, its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at a competitive 9.94, suggesting that the bank is trading at an attractive valuation relative to its earnings.

Notably, the bank's dividend yield as of mid-2024 is an impressive 5.56%, coupled with a dividend growth of 6.31% over the last twelve months. This is consistent with the bank's history of dividend reliability, as indicated by one of the InvestingPro Tips which highlights that the bank has not only maintained but raised its dividend payments for 52 consecutive years. Additionally, another InvestingPro Tip reveals that analysts are optimistic about the bank's profitability, having revised their earnings projections upwards for the upcoming period.

These insights underscore the Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce's position as a prominent player in the Banks industry, with a history of profitability and a commitment to shareholder returns. For more in-depth analysis and additional InvestingPro Tips, investors can visit https://www.investing.com/pro/CM. Those considering an InvestingPro subscription can take advantage of a special offer using the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription. With six more InvestingPro Tips available, subscribers can gain a comprehensive understanding of the bank's financial health and market potential.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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