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UBS bullish on Northrop Grumman stock as B-21 progress and margin growth boost outlook

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 10/25/2024, 06:27 AM
NOC
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On Friday, UBS analyst Gavin Parsons (NYSE:PSN) raised the price target on Northrop Grumman (NYSE:NOC) to $643 from the previous $614, while maintaining a Buy rating on the stock. The adjustment follows Northrop Grumman's third-quarter earnings, which included an earnings per share (EPS) and earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) beat, although revenue was slightly below consensus. The company has reiterated its guidance, with an initial forecast for 2025 revenue growth of 3-4%.

Despite the Aerospace and Defense (A&D) industry facing numerous challenges such as strike disruptions, supply chain delays, and significant contract award deferrals, Northrop Grumman has demonstrated steady operational performance over the past three quarters. The company has also managed to surpass performance expectations in many areas of its business.

Northrop Grumman's B-21 program incurred a charge in the fourth quarter of 2023, but the project continues to meet its milestones. Additionally, the company has reported margin improvements in its Aeronautics Systems for three consecutive quarters, helping to balance the margin pressure from the B-21 program ramp-up. The Sentinel contract is currently under review by the Department of Defense (DoD), yet it remains a high-priority program and a key growth driver for the company.

The company's Space sector is expected to face some headwinds over the next few quarters, but strong growth prospects in the Mission Systems (MS) and Defense Systems (DS) segments are anticipated to compensate for these challenges. In summary, UBS believes Northrop Grumman is on a path to high-quality growth, margin expansion, and increased free cash flow, while effectively executing two of the DoD's highest priority programs spanning multiple decades.

In other recent news, Northrop Grumman Corporation (NYSE:NOC) reported a robust financial performance in its third quarter of 2024. The company recorded a 6% year-to-date revenue growth and a 13% increase in earnings per share from the previous year's third quarter.

Furthermore, Northrop Grumman's Aeronautics Systems segment saw margin improvements, while the Defense Systems segment signaled strong future demand with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.6. The company's backlog reached a record $85 billion, more than double its annual revenue. Looking ahead, Northrop Grumman expects a sales increase of 3-4% in 2025, with a focus on international markets and new development programs.

Despite some challenges, such as supply chain issues, the company remains confident in its growth trajectory and plans to continue delivering value to its shareholders and stakeholders. These are among the recent developments for Northrop Grumman.

InvestingPro Insights

Northrop Grumman's recent performance and future outlook are further illuminated by real-time data from InvestingPro. The company's market capitalization stands at $76.36 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the Aerospace & Defense industry. With a P/E ratio of 32.29, Northrop Grumman is trading at a relatively high earnings multiple, which aligns with the company's strong market position and growth prospects mentioned in the article.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Northrop Grumman has raised its dividend for 20 consecutive years, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder returns that complements its operational achievements. This is particularly relevant given the company's steady performance and margin improvements noted in the UBS analysis. Additionally, the company's revenue growth of 5.95% over the last twelve months supports the positive outlook on high-quality growth mentioned by UBS.

It's worth noting that InvestingPro offers 11 additional tips for Northrop Grumman, providing investors with a more comprehensive analysis of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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