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UBS bullish on Jefferies stock as new MDs drive growth

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 09/17/2024, 04:21 AM
JEF
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On Tuesday, Jefferies Group (NYSE:JEF) stock received a bullish outlook from UBS as the firm started coverage with a Buy rating and a price target set at $67.00. The investment bank's decision to focus more heavily on its core banking operations has been seen as a positive move, following a 70% increase in Managing Director (MD) headcount in recent years.


The UBS analyst highlighted the strategic shift Jefferies has made by selling off its legacy merchant banking assets and concentrating on its banking franchise. This transition is expected to structurally enhance the company's return profile. The analyst also noted Jefferies' advantageous position as it enters a capital markets environment favorable to its strengths, such as leveraged finance.


Despite Jefferies' stock already showing a significant year-to-date increase of 40%, reflecting investor optimism about the firm's short-term earnings potential, UBS anticipates further upside. The growth projection is supported by the expectation that newly added senior bankers will boost productivity growth through the fiscal year 2026, with around half of the MDs having been at Jefferies for less than three years.


The UBS analyst's commentary underscores the potential for Jefferies' earnings to climb as the company's recently expanded team of senior bankers becomes more established. The increased headcount of managing directors at the firm is anticipated to drive productivity growth over the next several years, contributing to the positive outlook for Jefferies' financial performance.


In other recent news, Jefferies Group earnings per share (EPS) for the second quarter of fiscal year 2024 met analyst expectations, with a reported EPS of $0.64. This was followed by a revenue increase that slightly exceeded forecasts, offsetting higher expenses and an increased effective tax rate. Notably, earnings from equity capital markets, debt capital markets, and mergers and acquisitions rose by 50% to $739 million, and trading revenues grew by 27% year-over-year, totaling $691 million.


In addition, Jefferies Group finalized the sale of OpNet S.p.A's operations to Wind Tre S.p.A, a subsidiary of CK Hutchison Group Telecom Holdings Ltd. This transaction is expected to yield net cash proceeds of approximately $317 million for Jefferies, distributed between the closing date and the first half of 2025. The sale aligns with Jefferies' strategy to divest a significant portion of its legacy merchant-banking assets and refocus on its core investment banking and capital markets services.


Oppenheimer, an investment firm, has adjusted the price target for Jefferies Group from $64 to $66, maintaining an Outperform rating. This adjustment reflects Jefferies' continued success in gaining market share within the investment banking sector. Despite slower-than-anticipated growth in certain areas, Oppenheimer's positive stance on Jefferies remains unchanged.


Finally, Jefferies Group was among six major banks, including Bank of America and Citigroup, that agreed to an $80 million settlement in a New York antitrust litigation case. The banks were accused of colluding to artificially inflate bond prices. The settlement awaits approval from a Manhattan federal court judge.


InvestingPro Insights


Jefferies Group's strategic focus on its core banking operations has caught the eye of UBS, prompting a bullish stance on the company's stock. This sentiment is echoed in the InvestingPro data, which shows a robust revenue growth of 9.5% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, and an even more impressive quarterly revenue growth of 59.64% for Q2 2024. These figures underscore the company's successful pivot towards its banking franchise and indicate a strong upward trajectory in its financial performance.


InvestingPro Tips reveal that Jefferies is expected to see net income growth this year and analysts predict profitability, aligning with UBS's optimistic outlook. Additionally, the company has demonstrated a commitment to shareholder returns, maintaining dividend payments for 15 consecutive years. This consistent performance is further highlighted by a significant price uptick, with the stock trading near its 52-week high and delivering a strong return of over 55% year-to-date as of late September 2024.


For investors looking to delve deeper into Jefferies' financial health, InvestingPro provides a plethora of additional tips, including insights into the company's liquidity and long-term profitability. With a market capitalization of $12.26 billion and a P/E ratio standing at 29.26, Jefferies presents a compelling case for those considering capitalizing on the favorable capital markets environment it is poised to leverage.


To explore more about Jefferies Group's financial outlook and for further InvestingPro Tips, interested readers can visit https://www.investing.com/pro/JEF. The platform offers an extensive list of additional tips to help investors make informed decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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