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Truist cuts Option Care Health stock PT, sees potential Stelara headwinds

EditorIsmeta Mujdragic
Published 10/31/2024, 12:30 PM
OPCH
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On Thursday, Truist Securities revised its price target for Option Care Health (NASDAQ:OPCH) to $34 from the previous $41 while maintaining a Buy rating.

The adjustment follows the company's third-quarter earnings report and guidance for 2024, which were accompanied by a cautious outlook for Stelara's profitability in 2025. Despite potential headwinds, Truist Securities expressed a continued positive outlook on the stock due to several factors.

The analyst noted that the third-quarter performance and outlook for the following year were strong but were overshadowed by concerns about the future profitability of Stelara. The uncertainty regarding negotiations with manufacturers was cited as a key issue that could influence the stock's near-term performance.

However, the firm remains optimistic about the company's prospects, highlighting the demand drivers and the expected improvement in supply chain efficiencies.

Truist Securities pointed out that the anticipated increase in intravenous (IV) bag availability could enhance supply chain operations and contribute to growth. The firm is also optimistic about the opportunities arising from planned exits by competitors in the market, which could benefit Option Care Health.

The financial position of Option Care Health was described as excellent, with the firm emphasizing the company's strong free cash flow (FCF) as a supportive element for the business. Despite lowering the estimates, Truist Securities reiterated their Buy rating, signaling confidence in the company's medium-term opportunities and financial health.

In summary, while the price target for Option Care Health has been lowered to $34, Truist Securities remains bullish on the stock. The firm believes that despite the near-term challenges, the company's attractive demand drivers, improving supply chain efficiencies, and strong financial flexibility present a positive outlook for investors.

In other recent news, Option Care Health has faced several significant developments. The company recently reported a strong third-quarter performance with a 17% increase in revenue, attributed to organic growth initiatives.

The company's adjusted EBITDA reached $115.6 million, with expectations for 2024 revenue to fall between $4.9 billion and $4.95 billion. Despite supply chain disruptions, Option Care Health ended the quarter with a robust $483 million in cash.

However, Deutsche Bank, Jefferies, and BofA Securities have all adjusted their stance on the company. Deutsche Bank reduced its price target from $36 to $30, while Jefferies and BofA Securities downgraded the company's stock, citing concerns about the pricing of the drug Stelara and its potential impact on the company's margins. Jefferies cut its price target to $26 from $38, and BofA Securities reduced its target to $29 from $43.

Option Care Health is also exploring capital deployment strategies, including share repurchases and potential mergers and acquisitions. However, challenges such as IV bag shortages and the Inflation Reduction Act's drug pricing changes are expected to impact financial results in 2025.

These are recent developments that investors should consider when evaluating Option Care Health's performance and prospects.

InvestingPro Insights

Option Care Health's financial metrics and market performance offer additional context to Truist Securities' analysis. The company's revenue growth of 11.07% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, coupled with a 14.79% quarterly revenue growth, aligns with the analyst's positive outlook on demand drivers. The company's P/E ratio (adjusted) of 17.62 suggests a relatively reasonable valuation, especially considering the growth prospects highlighted by Truist.

InvestingPro Tips provide further insight:

1. Option Care Health has demonstrated strong revenue growth recently, supporting the analyst's optimistic view on demand.

2. The company's high return on invested capital suggests efficient use of funds, which could contribute to the strong free cash flow noted by Truist Securities.

These tips are part of a larger set of insights available on InvestingPro, which offers 14 additional tips for Option Care Health, providing investors with a more comprehensive analysis of the company's financial health and market position.

The current stock price of $23.55 is significantly below both the analyst's revised target of $34 and InvestingPro's calculated fair value of $31.29, suggesting potential upside despite recent market challenges. This aligns with Truist's maintained Buy rating, even as they adjust for near-term uncertainties.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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