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This is why Benchmark downgraded BJ's Restaurants stock despite Q2 beat

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 07/26/2024, 08:22 AM
BJRI
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On Friday, BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) experienced a shift in stock rating as a Benchmark analyst moved the rating from Buy to Hold. The decision came after the company reported its second-quarter results for fiscal year 2024, which showed a marginal surpassing of consensus expectations.

The restaurant chain recorded revenues of $350 million, which was $1 million above the consensus estimate. This revenue was reported despite a slight same-store sales (SSS) decline of 0.6%. Additionally, the adjusted operating earnings per share (EPS) came in at $0.53, compared to the consensus prediction of $0.51.

The company's adjusted Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (EBITDA) also exceeded expectations, reaching $36 million against a consensus of $33 million.

Despite the positive outcomes in revenue, EPS, and EBITDA, the downgrade reflects a cautious approach towards BJ's Restaurants' future financial years. The analyst cited more conservative estimates for fiscal years 2024 and 2025 as a key reason for the change in rating. Furthermore, the downgrade is influenced by the challenges posed by the current operating environment, which is described as difficult in the near term.

The second-quarter performance of BJ's Restaurants, once adjusted for certain below-the-line items, including a $0.19 adjustment, managed to slightly outperform the market's expectations. The company's ability to achieve these results amidst a minor decline in same-store sales suggests a resilient operational strategy.

Investors and stakeholders of BJ's Restaurants are now observing how the company will navigate the forecasted conservative financial landscape and the operational difficulties that have been highlighted by the analyst's report.

The change from a Buy to a Hold rating indicates a shift to a neutral stance on the company's stock, suggesting that the analyst does not currently see significant upside or downside potential in the near term.

In other recent news, BJ's Restaurants Inc. reported a modest decline in comparable sales but a significant increase in restaurant margins and adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter of fiscal 2024. Despite a 0.6% decrease in comparable sales, the company's total sales reached $349.9 million. This is credited to BJ's Restaurants' focus on enhancing guest experience and efficiency gains, along with a share repurchase program.

Restaurant margins improved to 15.5%, marking a year-over-year increase of 100 basis points. Adjusted EBITDA also saw a 13% rise to $36.1 million. The company has announced plans to open two new restaurants featuring a new prototype and has repurchased approximately 255,000 shares of common stock for $8.8 million.

Looking ahead, BJ's Restaurants projects Q3 comparable sales to be in the 1% to 2% range. Despite anticipated increases in marketing and food costs, the company expects margin expansion in Q4. The firm's outlook includes an aim for 8-10% top-line sales growth through new units and low to mid-single digit comparable restaurant sales.

InvestingPro Insights

Following the recent analyst rating change for BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI), it's insightful to look at some key metrics and tips provided by InvestingPro. The company has been trading at a high earnings multiple with a P/E Ratio of 36.63, which suggests that investors have high expectations for future earnings growth. However, this valuation becomes more attractive when considering the adjusted P/E ratio for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, which stands at a lower 29.64. This could indicate that the company is potentially undervalued relative to its near-term earnings growth, a factor that might interest value-oriented investors.

Moreover, BJ's Restaurants has shown a commitment to returning value to shareholders by raising its dividend for 3 consecutive years, a sign of confidence in its financial health and future prospects. Despite the challenges in the operating environment, InvestingPro Tips also reveal that analysts predict the company will be profitable this year, which aligns with the company being profitable over the last twelve months. The company's resilience is further highlighted by its revenue growth of 0.21% in the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, indicating its ability to grow despite market headwinds.

For those looking to delve deeper into BJ's Restaurants' financials and future outlook, InvestingPro provides additional tips that could help in making a more informed investment decision. There are 10 more InvestingPro Tips available, which can be accessed by visiting https://www.investing.com/pro/BJRI. To enhance your investing strategy, use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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