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Tesla retains Buy rating and stock target from Deutsche Bank on projections

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 10/24/2024, 10:58 AM
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TSLA
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On Thursday, Deutsche Bank maintained its Buy rating and $295.00 stock price target for Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), highlighting the company's strong third-quarter margins in its Auto and Energy divisions. The automotive manufacturer's margins were notably enhanced by its Full Self-Driving (FSD) package, and its Energy division reported record-high margins.

Tesla's vehicle production is showing positive signs, with fourth-quarter delivery projections set to increase by at least 11% sequentially, surpassing both Deutsche Bank's and the consensus estimates. Management's initial outlook for 2025 suggests an annual volume growth of 20-30%, which is significantly higher than current expectations.

Although Deutsche Bank remains cautious about Tesla achieving these ambitious targets, the forecast is expected to mitigate concerns about the company's growth trajectory for the coming year.

Tesla continues to progress towards introducing more cost-effective models in the first half of 2025. Among these is the anticipated launch of a more affordable variant of the Model Y, possibly named Model Q. This strategy is part of Tesla's broader efforts to increase its market reach and sustain long-term growth.

The company also provided additional details on future projects like Cybercab and its robotaxi initiatives, sparking further discussions on their potential impact. Deutsche Bank's analysis suggests that Tesla's continuous development and integration of end-to-end artificial intelligence position it favorably to lead in autonomous driving and humanoid robotics.

The reaffirmation of the Buy rating and $295 price target reflects confidence in Tesla's strategic direction and technological advancements.

In other recent news, Tesla has been in the spotlight due to its third-quarter earnings per share (EPS) outperformance and strong delivery guidance. Despite these positive developments, TD Cowen has maintained its Hold rating on Tesla, citing potential challenges ahead.

The company's management anticipates a decrease in automotive gross margin due to increased discount activity in the fourth quarter of 2024. Tesla has also indicated that there are no current plans to develop a $25,000 non-autonomous electric vehicle, pointing out regulatory hurdles associated with unsupervised Full Self-Driving technology.

Truist Securities, Jefferies, and Cantor Fitzgerald have all adjusted their price targets for Tesla. Truist raised Tesla's price target to $238 due to improved gross margins and EPS, while Jefferies increased Tesla's price target to $195, predicting third-quarter revenues of $19.9 billion. Cantor Fitzgerald also raised Tesla's price target to $255, reflecting the company's higher gross margins and reduced operating expenses.

In a series of recent developments, Tesla announced plans for future vehicle models, including the Cybertruck, Cybercab, and a new affordable vehicle model priced under $30,000, planned for the first half of 2024. The company's Q3 operating cash flows reached $6.3 billion, with energy margins over 30%. These developments underline Tesla's ongoing efforts to bolster its market position and expand its product offerings.

InvestingPro Insights

To complement Deutsche Bank's positive outlook on Tesla, InvestingPro data offers additional insights into the company's financial position. Tesla's market capitalization stands at an impressive $801.38 billion, reflecting its dominant position in the electric vehicle market. The company's revenue for the last twelve months reached $95.32 billion, with a modest growth of 1.37% year-over-year.

InvestingPro Tips highlight Tesla's financial strength, noting that the company "holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet" and "cash flows can sufficiently cover interest payments." These factors support Tesla's ability to invest in future projects like the affordable Model Y variant and robotaxi initiatives mentioned in Deutsche Bank's analysis.

However, investors should be aware that Tesla is "trading at a high earnings multiple" with a P/E ratio of 64.01. This valuation suggests high growth expectations, aligning with management's ambitious 2025 volume growth projections of 20-30%.

For readers interested in a deeper dive into Tesla's financial health and market position, InvestingPro offers 20 additional tips, providing a comprehensive analysis to inform investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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