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Telsey raises Lowe's stock target, maintains Market Perform rating

EditorTanya Mishra
Published 10/02/2024, 07:00 AM
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Telsey Advisory Group has adjusted its price target on shares of Lowe's Companies Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:LOW), increasing it to $275 from the previous $230 while maintaining the Market Perform rating for the home improvement retailer.

The firm's decision comes after meetings that bolstered confidence in Lowe's capacity to expand its market share and reap long-term benefits from its Total Home Strategy.

This strategy includes focusing on professional contractors, enhancing digital capabilities, driving localization, and elevating product assortment.

Despite this optimism, Telsey expressed caution regarding the short-term outlook, citing the challenging macroeconomic environment, which includes high interest rates and significant inflation.

These factors have led to a decrease in do-it-yourself (DIY) spending, particularly in large discretionary purchases.

Although the Federal Reserve has recently lowered the Fed Funds rate, Telsey anticipates it may take several months for this reduction to translate into improved sales trends for Lowe's.

The firm suggests that for Lowe's stock to demonstrate sustained outperformance compared to the S&P 500, there would need to be clear indicators of a recovery in the housing market and an increase in consumer engagement with more extensive and numerous projects.

In light of these considerations, while the Market Perform rating remains unchanged, Telsey has applied a higher price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of approximately 21 times, up from around 17 times.

The adjustment acknowledges the recent market activity and the Federal Reserve's rate cut. The new price target is also based on a 2025 earnings per share (EPS) estimate of $13.00, marking a $45 increase from the previous target.

In other recent news, Lowe's Companies Inc. has been the subject of several key developments. The home improvement retailer saw its stock upgraded from Perform to Outperform by Oppenheimer, citing improved operational efficiency and attractive valuation. The firm also increased Lowe's price target to $305, up from $230, reflecting a new earnings multiple range for the estimated fiscal year 2026 earnings per share.

In addition to this, Lowe's reported mixed Q2 results, with sales amounting to $23.6 billion, marking a 5.1% decline in comparable sales year-over-year. Despite this, the company exceeded analysts' earnings per share estimate of $4.00 with an actual EPS of $4.10, thanks to effective cost management strategies.

Furthermore, Lowe's announced a quarterly cash dividend of $1.15 per share following a successful fiscal year 2023 with sales surpassing $86 billion. This move underlines the company's financial health and its ability to return value to shareholders.

Several firms including TD Cowen, Piper Sandler, and KeyBanc have revised their price targets and ratings for Lowe's. Specifically, TD Cowen raised its price target for Lowe's shares to $265, maintaining a Hold rating, due to anticipated growth in the Pro segment and the company's Productivity Improvement Program.

Finally, the company has outlined its focus on initiatives aimed at professional customers, expecting significant growth in this segment.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent data from InvestingPro adds depth to Telsey Advisory Group's analysis of Lowe's Companies Inc. (NYSE:LOW). The company's market capitalization stands at $154.67 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the Specialty Retail industry. Lowe's current P/E ratio of 22.55 aligns closely with Telsey's applied multiple of 21 times, suggesting the market's valuation is in line with analyst expectations.

InvestingPro Tips highlight Lowe's strong financial position and market performance. The company has maintained dividend payments for 54 consecutive years, demonstrating long-term stability that may appeal to income-focused investors. Additionally, Lowe's has shown a strong return over the last three months, with InvestingPro data revealing a 28.2% price total return in this period. This recent performance could be indicative of the market's positive response to the company's strategies and the potential impact of the Federal Reserve's rate decisions.

It's worth noting that InvestingPro offers 12 additional tips for Lowe's, providing investors with a more comprehensive analysis of the company's prospects and challenges. These insights could be particularly valuable given the complex macroeconomic environment described in the article.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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