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TD Cowen ups Janus Henderson shares target, cites strong mutual fund performance

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 07/08/2024, 09:29 AM
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On Monday, TD Cowen maintained a Buy rating on Janus Henderson Group (NYSE:JHG) and increased its shares target to $38.00 from $37.00. The firm's analyst cited several reasons for the optimistic outlook, including expectations of a positive shift in mutual fund performance fees and an earnings projection that surpasses consensus estimates for 2024-2025.

The analyst's confidence in Janus Henderson is reinforced by proprietary research that suggests a favorable change in the company's mutual fund performance fees, contrasting with the continued adverse trends expected by others.

This could lead to a revision of management's guidance or an acknowledgment of growing visibility for positive inflections, prompting a necessary overhaul of consensus expectations.

Furthermore, the revised earnings forecast for 2025 is now more than 6% above the consensus, marking the highest positive variance among traditional asset managers. This leads to the anticipation of favorable adjustments in the consensus view.

The firm also highlighted the encouraging momentum in gross and net flows, especially in the global intermediary channel, which accounts for approximately 80% of distribution. Historically, the sector's valuation has been influenced by changes in flow trends, and in the case of Janus Henderson, these trends are improving.

Lastly, the analyst expects the company to continue its shareholder-friendly approach to capital returns, while also making progress in expanding its institutional pipeline and achieving margin expansion, despite ongoing investments aimed at pivoting towards faster-growing market segments.

In other recent news, Janus Henderson Group has seen a series of significant financial developments. The company reported first-quarter 2024 results, revealing a 5% increase in assets under management (AUM) to $352.6 billion, marking a two-year high. Despite this growth, the company experienced net outflows of $3 billion, largely due to institutional redemptions.

TD Cowen, a financial analyst firm, upgraded Janus Henderson's stock from Hold to Buy, citing an expected earnings beat due to an anticipated positive shift in the company's Mutual Fund performance fees. This change was also influenced by improved relative flow dynamics within the company and Janus Henderson's commitment to returning capital to shareholders.

TD Cowen also raised its adjusted earnings per share (EPS) estimates for Janus Henderson for the years 2024 and 2025, reflecting a more optimistic view of the company's earnings potential.

In terms of strategic moves, Janus Henderson announced key acquisitions and partnerships aimed at diversifying its business and entering new markets, such as the European ETF market and the emerging markets private capital space.

InvestingPro Insights

Adding to the positive sentiment from TD Cowen, InvestingPro data indicates a robust financial framework for Janus Henderson Group (NYSE:JHG). With a market capitalization of $5.47 billion and a P/E ratio standing at 12.89, the company presents an attractive valuation proposition, especially when considering its adjusted P/E ratio of 13.19 for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024. Additionally, a PEG ratio of 0.55 suggests that Janus Henderson's earnings growth could be undervalued relative to its peers.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Janus Henderson has increased its dividend for three consecutive years, showcasing a commitment to returning value to shareholders. Moreover, the firm's ability to cover interest payments with its cash flows and maintain liquidity that surpasses short-term obligations underscores its financial health. With 3 analysts having revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, it's clear that the market is recognizing the company's potential for sustained profitability, which is also reflected in its strong return over the last five years.

For investors looking to delve deeper into Janus Henderson's performance and future outlook, additional InvestingPro Tips are available. By using the PRONEWS24 coupon code, readers can get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription, accessing a comprehensive set of tools and insights to inform their investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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