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TD Cowen lowers Phillips 66 shares target amid capital allocation strategy

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 06/21/2024, 08:42 AM
PSX
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On Friday, TD Cowen adjusted its price target on Phillips 66 (NYSE: NYSE:PSX) shares, lowering it to $155 from the previous $164, while continuing to endorse the stock with a Buy rating.

The revision followed a sell-side lunch where the CEO and investor relations team of Phillips 66 reaffirmed the company's EBITDA goals, indicating that their progress is on track with their internal benchmarks.

The energy company, which has been focusing on achieving a $14 billion EBITDA target, has received a positive outlook from the analyst despite the price target adjustment.

The analyst believes that Phillips 66 has potential for stock price appreciation even if it falls short of the ambitious EBITDA goal. However, it was noted that investors might look for more consistent quarterly results before fully recognizing the company's earnings potential.

Phillips 66 has also communicated its strategy regarding capital allocation, emphasizing that it will give precedence to share buybacks over reducing debt. This approach indicates the company's confidence in its financial position and its commitment to delivering value to shareholders.

The maintenance of the Buy rating suggests that the analyst sees ongoing merit in the investment, despite the slightly reduced price target. The analyst's commentary reflects an expectation that Phillips 66 will continue to perform well and that the stock holds the promise of rewarding investors in the future.

The price target reduction and the maintained Buy rating come at a time when investors are closely watching energy companies for their financial health and strategic decisions, particularly in the backdrop of fluctuating energy markets and economic conditions. Phillips 66 appears to be navigating these challenges with a clear strategy that has gained the continued support of TD Cowen.

In other recent news, Phillips 66 has seen several noteworthy developments. The company has reported a revised EPS/EBITDA of $2.02 per share/$1,979MM from a previous estimate of $2.83 per share/$2,429MM. Mizuho has maintained a Neutral rating on Phillips 66 but reduced the shares target to $160 from $162, citing concerns over refining margins.

Meanwhile, Piper Sandler and Barclays Capital Inc. have issued their own ratings and price targets, with Piper Sandler maintaining an Overweight rating and a price target of $170.00, while Barclays Capital Inc. assigned an Equal Weight rating with a price target of $139.00.

Phillips 66 has also been active in restructuring its business operations. The company has sold its 25% stake in the Rockies Express Pipeline to Tallgrass Energy, LP for an enterprise value of $1.275 billion, a move that aligns with its commitment to a lower-carbon future.

Additionally, it has entered into a definitive agreement to purchase Pinnacle Midland Parent LLC from Energy Spectrum Capital for $550 million, a strategic acquisition expected to enhance its Midstream business and expand its natural gas liquids value chain.

These recent developments are part of Phillips 66's ongoing efforts to optimize its operations and deliver value to its shareholders. As these events unfold, the company continues to focus on strategic priorities, including asset monetization and investment in renewable energy.

InvestingPro Insights

Phillips 66 (NYSE: PSX) exhibits a robust financial profile with a market capitalization of $58.49 billion, underpinning the confidence TD Cowen has in the company. The adjusted P/E ratio, standing at 9.93, suggests that the stock might be undervalued compared to industry averages, potentially offering a compelling entry point for investors. Additionally, the company's dividend yield of 3.33% combined with a dividend growth of 9.52% in the last twelve months as of Q1 2024 underscores Phillips 66's commitment to returning value to shareholders, aligning with the company's focus on share buybacks.

InvestingPro Tips reveal that despite a decline in revenue growth by -11.53% in the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, the company has managed a quarterly revenue growth of 4.11%, indicating some resilience in its business operations. Furthermore, the fair value assessments from analysts and InvestingPro suggest a potential upside, with analyst targets at $160 and InvestingPro's own fair value estimate at $140.34, both above the previous close price of $137.96. For those considering an investment, the PRONEWS24 coupon code can provide an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, offering access to more in-depth analysis with additional InvestingPro Tips available on the platform.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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