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Susquehanna cuts DLocal stock target as Nigeria revenue drops 94%, keeps Positive rating

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 08/15/2024, 09:01 AM
DLO
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On Thursday, Susquehanna maintained a Positive rating on DLocal Limited (NASDAQ: DLO), while lowering its price target to $14 from $21. This adjustment comes as DLocal reported a significant slow down in revenue growth, despite a strong Total Payment Volume (TPV) growth of nearly 38% quarter over quarter.

The reduced revenue growth of 6% year over year, compared to 34% in the previous quarter, has been partly attributed to a sharp 94% revenue decline from Nigeria and a 13% decrease in Chile, both impacted by weak foreign exchange rates.

The firm also noted the ongoing impact of the repricing of DLocal's largest client by volume on the company's take rate. However, Susquehanna highlighted the successful onboarding of several large new merchants during the quarter. Despite the challenges faced, the firm views the quarter's results as a reflection of the natural volatility in emerging markets and the complexities that DLocal navigates to add value.

The new price target is based on approximately 13 times the enterprise value to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EV/EBITDA) ratio, reduced from the previous 18 times. Susquehanna has spoken with DLocal during a callback and has calculated that the lower bound of gross profit growth and adjusted EBITDA/gross profit margin guidance for fiscal year 2024 could sum to 61%, as the company plans to invest in engineering, technology, product development, sales, and operations.

DLocal's commitment to investing in essential infrastructure, with a focus on technology and product, sales, and operations, is expected to support the company's growth trajectory despite the current market volatility. Interested parties have been encouraged to contact Susquehanna for further details on the callback with DLocal.

In other recent news, dLocal Limited, a technology platform connecting global enterprise merchants with consumers in emerging markets, has seen a series of updates. The company reported significant growth in the second quarter of 2024, with total payment volume (TPV) hitting a record $6.0 billion, marking a 38% year-over-year growth.

This growth was fueled by the addition of new merchants and expansion in various verticals, resulting in an 11% quarter-on-quarter gross profit growth. Adjusted EBITDA reached $43 million, with the company generating $35 million in free cash flow.

BofA Securities recently adjusted its price target for dLocal shares to $8.00, up from the previous $7.50, while maintaining a Neutral rating. This adjustment comes after dLocal's second-quarter earnings release, which slightly missed analysts' expectations. Despite the company revising its full-year 2024 guidance downward across several key performance indicators, TPV remained relatively stable.

Despite challenges such as limited short-term revenue visibility due to market volatility in countries like Nigeria, Argentina, and Egypt, dLocal remains committed to investing in its long-term growth.

InvestingPro Insights

Amidst the market fluctuations and the recent adjustments in DLocal Limited's (NASDAQ: DLO) outlook, InvestingPro data offers a deeper dive into the company's financial health and stock performance. With a market capitalization of $2.24 billion, DLocal is trading at a forward P/E ratio of 41.41, indicating a high valuation relative to its earnings over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024. This is further corroborated by a Price / Book multiple of 4.7, suggesting a premium on the company's book value.

Despite the challenges highlighted in revenue growth, DLocal has demonstrated notable resilience with a revenue growth of 48.8% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024. The company's gross profit margin stands at a healthy 39.86%, and its operating income margin is at 24.21%, reflecting efficient operational management.

InvestingPro Tips indicate that management's confidence is reflected through aggressive share buybacks, and analysts anticipate DLocal to be profitable this year. However, it's worth noting that the stock has experienced significant price declines over the last three, six months, and year-to-date, emphasizing the volatility and potential risk for investors.

For investors seeking a comprehensive view of DLocal's performance and future prospects, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available, which delve into various facets of the company's financial status and market position. Interested readers can explore these insights further to make informed investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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