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SQM stock held back by declining lithium prices - Berenberg

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 07/31/2024, 05:09 AM
SQM
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On Wednesday, Berenberg initiated coverage on Sociedad Quimica y Minera (NYSE:SQM) stock, a major lithium producer, with a Hold rating and a price target of $35.00.

The firm highlighted SQM's status as the largest and lowest-cost lithium producer in the world, with the advantage of access to Chile's Salar de Atacama, the country's most extensive lithium resource.

The analysis pointed out that lithium has been a significant contributor to SQM's earnings, accounting for over 70% of the company's gross profit in 2023. However, the share price of SQM has been under pressure due to declining lithium prices since 2022 and the Chilean government's intentions to acquire majority ownership in the nation's lithium mining operations.

Berenberg noted that SQM's stock has reached an appealing price point, but the firm remains cautious due to the current negative outlook on lithium pricing. This sentiment is despite what the firm considers a fair agreement between SQM and Codelco, the state-owned mining company.

The firm's initiation of coverage and the setting of the price target come as SQM navigates the challenges posed by market conditions and government policies in Chile. Berenberg's Hold rating suggests a neutral stance on the stock's potential performance in the near term.

In other recent news, Chile-based lithium producer, Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile (SQM), reported robust growth for the first quarter of 2024 with total revenues nearing $1.1 billion and an adjusted EBITDA exceeding $400 million.

Despite a one-time adjustment related to the lithium mining tax in Chile that affected the net profit, the company plans to expand its production capacity to meet increasing demand. SQM also disclosed a significant rise in sales volumes, particularly in the iodine and lithium segments.

In addition, SQM's joint venture agreement with Codelco, known as "Newco," is nearing finalization. This development has led BMO Capital Markets to maintain its Outperform rating on SQM. The firm also anticipates a rise in lithium prices and a gradual decrease in uncertainties surrounding the company.

Furthermore, Chile's lithium industry is set to expand significantly with 81 project proposals under review, potentially exceeding the country's target of initiating four new projects by the end of 2026. These developments align with the government's strategy to increase lithium production.

Chile has also secured U.S. tax benefits for its lithium products under the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), which is expected to boost exports and enhance the competitiveness of Chile's lithium industry in the global market. These are some of the recent developments that investors should consider.

InvestingPro Insights

As Sociedad Quimica y Minera (NYSE:SQM) faces the dynamics of the lithium market and government policy, real-time data from InvestingPro provides a deeper financial perspective. The company currently holds a market capitalization of $10.78 billion, with a P/E ratio of 6.05, reflecting investor sentiment about its earnings capacity. Adjusted for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, the P/E ratio stands at a higher 24.67, indicating a shift in how earnings are valued over time.

Despite the challenges highlighted by Berenberg, SQM is recognized as a prominent player in the Electrical Equipment industry, as per InvestingPro Tips. Moreover, the company has shown financial resilience by maintaining dividend payments for 31 consecutive years, which is a testament to its commitment to shareholder returns. Additionally, with liquid assets surpassing short-term obligations, SQM demonstrates a sound liquidity position, an important factor during uncertain market conditions.

Investors considering SQM can also note that the company is trading near its 52-week low, which might present a buying opportunity for those who believe in the company's fundamentals and long-term prospects. For further insights and analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips that can guide investors in their decision-making process. To access these insights, consider using the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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