On Wednesday, a KeyBanc analyst maintained a positive stance on Spotify Technology SA (NYSE:SPOT), reiterating an Overweight rating and a $400.00 price target on the company's stock. The analyst's optimism is anchored in the potential of Spotify's bundles to significantly contribute to the company's operating profit starting in the third quarter of 2024.
The analyst highlighted that the success of the bundle offerings would largely depend on the take rates among subscribers, particularly in Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States. According to their calculations, a 50% subscription rate for the bundle in these regions could result in a 6-12% increase in the projected operating profit for the third quarter, which is already above consensus estimates.
The bundles, which offer a combination of services, are seen as a strategic move to enhance the lifetime value (LTV) of Spotify's customers. The analyst believes that this improvement in LTV will give Spotify the leeway to further invest in growth while simultaneously boosting its profit margins.
The financial institution's analysis suggests that the bundles could be a significant growth driver for Spotify. The introduction of these offerings is expected to play a pivotal role in the company's financial performance, particularly in the latter half of 2024.
In other recent news, Spotify has introduced a new basic streaming service in the United States, priced at $10.99 per month. This follows a price hike for Spotify's premium offerings, with the individual plan now costing $11.99. The introduction of the basic plan aims to provide a more affordable option for users. Additionally, Spotify is reportedly planning to roll out a higher-tier plan later this year, catering to its most dedicated users at an additional cost of $5 per month.
On the analyst front, Benchmark raised its price target for Spotify to $405, maintaining a Buy rating. The firm's projection is based on an anticipated increase in revenue following the company's decision to raise the prices of its U.S. premium plans. Additionally, Canaccord Genuity maintained a positive outlook on Spotify, citing the company's commitment to increasing profitability through pricing changes and operational efficiencies.
Evercore ISI also maintained an Outperform rating on Spotify shares, highlighting the company's recent decision to increase the price of its Individual Plan in the United States.
InvestingPro Insights
Adding to the KeyBanc analyst's positive outlook on Spotify Technology SA (NYSE:SPOT), InvestingPro metrics reveal a robust financial landscape for the company. Spotify's market capitalization stands strong at $63.95 billion, underscoring its significant presence in the market. Despite a negative P/E ratio of -533.01, the company's revenue growth is impressive, with a 14.31% increase over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, and an even more substantial quarterly revenue growth of 19.53% for Q1 2024. This growth trajectory is consistent with the analyst's view that Spotify's bundle offerings could significantly contribute to operating profits in the near future.
From the lens of InvestingPro Tips, Spotify's financial health is further highlighted by its ability to hold more cash than debt, a reassuring sign for investors concerned about the company's solvency. Additionally, the company's net income is expected to grow this year, aligning with the analyst's forecast of an uptick in operating profit due to successful bundle offerings. For readers looking to delve deeper into Spotify's financials and future prospects, there are 14 additional InvestingPro Tips available, which can be accessed by visiting https://www.investing.com/pro/SPOT. To enhance your investment analysis, use coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.
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