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Scotiabank maintains underperform rating on Corus shares

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 09/18/2024, 10:40 AM
CJREF
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On Wednesday, Scotiabank reiterated its Sector Underperform rating on shares of Corus Entertainment (OTC:CJREF), with a price target of Cdn$0.05. The firm's analysis follows recent media speculation regarding a potential bid from Quebecor to acquire Corus.

Despite Corus's positive cash flow, concerns were raised about the high levels of debt on its balance sheet. Scotiabank anticipates that Corus may focus on recapitalizing its balance sheet rather than becoming an acquisition target for equity shareholders.

According to Scotiabank, if Quebecor were to propose a bid, it would likely be part of a debt-restructuring initiative. The firm expressed skepticism that Quebecor would offer more than $400 million in enterprise value for Corus. This valuation is a key factor in the assessment, as it influences the perceived attractiveness of the deal to potential acquirers.

Scotiabank's commentary suggests that the market for potential buyers of Corus is limited. Any interested parties are expected to consider the high debt situation and would likely approach an acquisition with a strategy that includes significant debt restructuring. Such financial maneuvers could result in substantial dilution of Corus's equity value.

The bank's stance on Corus's stock remains unchanged, maintaining a cautious outlook. The Sector Underperform rating indicates a belief that the company's stock may lag behind the broader market or its industry peers. The reiterated price target of Cdn$0.05 reflects this conservative perspective on Corus's financial situation and its future prospects within the current market environment.

In other recent news, Corus Entertainment has been grappling with significant financial challenges, including high leverage and potential covenant breaches. The company's leverage ratio has increased to 3.91 times, nearing the covenant threshold which is set to tighten further in the upcoming quarters. In response to these liquidity concerns, Corus is seeking amendments or relief to avoid an early breach of covenants in fiscal 2025.

Corus Entertainment reported a 16% decrease in third-quarter revenue, falling short of analyst expectations. The company's EBITDA dropped by 30%, with a notable decline of 15% in TV advertising revenue contributing to the shortfall. Furthermore, the company's consolidated margins have weakened by 400 basis points to approximately 20%.

Analysts from National Bank Financial, BMO Capital Markets, and RBC Capital have adjusted their outlooks on Corus Entertainment. National Bank Financial lowered the price target to C$0.01 from the previous C$0.25, maintaining an Underperform rating. BMO Capital Markets maintained a Market Perform rating, while RBC Capital reduced its price target from Cdn$0.50 to Cdn$0.30, maintaining a Sector Perform rating.

In an effort to mitigate financial strain, Corus plans to reduce the workforce by approximately 25%, equating to around 800 positions compared to fiscal 2023. The company is also exploring various legal and regulatory avenues to address the impact of the Warner Bros. Discovery (NASDAQ:WBD) dynamic.


InvestingPro Insights


Recent data and analysis from InvestingPro provide additional context to the financial situation at Corus Entertainment. According to InvestingPro Tips, analysts have revised their earnings downwards for the upcoming period, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests the stock is currently in overbought territory. These insights suggest caution among investors, aligning with Scotiabank's conservative stance on the company.

InvestingPro Data highlights some key metrics: Corus Entertainment has a market capitalization of 27.15 million USD and has experienced a significant return over the last week with a 1-week price total return of 11.51%. However, the stock has seen a dramatic 1-year price total return of -84.12%, indicating a steep decline over a longer period. Additionally, the company maintains a dividend, having increased it by 25.03% over the last twelve months, which may appeal to income-focused investors.

For investors seeking a deeper analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips on Corus Entertainment's financial health and market performance. These insights can be found at: https://www.investing.com/pro/CJREF

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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