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Scotiabank keeps dream industrial at Sector Outperform

EditorLina Guerrero
Published 10/02/2024, 03:24 PM
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On Wednesday, Scotiabank maintained its Sector Outperform rating and Cdn$16.00 price target on Dream Industrial (DIR-U:CN) (OTC: DREUF). Following an investor day event held in Toronto, the firm's analysts highlighted several growth drivers for the company, despite the absence of formal guidance for specific net operating income (NOI) or funds from operations per unit (FFOPU) for the years 2025-26.

The event, which saw attendance from 70 to 80 people in person and around 30 via webcast, featured updates from CBRE Capital Markets and a broker outlook from Colliers on the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) industrial market. Dream Industrial's management team, including CEO Alex Sannikov, CFO Lenis Quan, and CIO Bruce Traversy, gave presentations. Additionally, a fireside chat with Michael Cooper, the founder of Dream Asset Management, took place.

Dream Industrial anticipates generating an additional $101 million in annualized NOI by 2026. This is expected to more than compensate for the $38 million increase in interest expenses anticipated from the renewal of $1.3 billion in debt at an expiring rate of 0.81% in 2025 and 2026. Scotiabank introduced its medium-term outlook and net asset value (NAV) roadmap for the next three years, forecasting a growth in net asset value per unit (NAVPU) to $16.90 based on estimated 2025 NOI, $18.50 for 2026, and $20.00 for 2027.

The bank's analysts project a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of +6.6% for FFOPU from estimated 2024 to 2026, based on mid- to high-single-digit SP NOI growth for 2025 and 2026. This projection is part of the firm's analysis presented during the investor day, which focused on the company's financial outlook and strategic growth plans.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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