On Wednesday, Piper Sandler adjusted its outlook for Savers Value Village Inc (NYSE:SVV) shares, lowering the price target to $13.00 from the previous $18.00, while maintaining an Overweight rating on the stock. The revision comes as the firm anticipates a forthcoming adjustment to the company's earnings guidance.
The reduction in the price target is based on a valuation pegged to 8 times the company's projected 2025 EBITDA, a decrease from the previously utilized multiple of 10 times EBITDA. This change reflects a tempered growth forecast for Savers Value Village. Despite the price target adjustment, the Overweight rating suggests that the firm continues to see the thrift store chain as a favorable investment relative to its peers.
Savers Value Village is expected to face challenges in the near term, particularly with its adjusted EBITDA and net income, due to gross margin pressures. These pressures are largely attributed to the scaling of its Central Processing Centers (CPCs). The company's performance has not met the expectations set prior to its IPO, leading to a potential recalibration of estimates.
Traffic data monitored by Piper Sandler indicates a positive trend in sales for the U.S. segment during the second quarter and into the early third quarter. However, the Canadian segment has experienced a significant decline in the first quarter, which remains unexplained.
The new price target of $13.00 is equivalent to 17 times the firm's reduced earnings per share estimate for the year 2025. This adjustment arrives ahead of the company's second quarter earnings report, which is scheduled for early August.
In other recent news, Savers Value Village has experienced a series of significant developments. The company's second-quarter earnings are projected to be lower than consensus estimates, according to JPMorgan, which downgraded the stock from Overweight to Neutral. The firm also reduced its price target to $12, citing potential negative performance and revisions to the company's future guidance.
Simultaneously, Savers Value Village has amended its credit agreement, adding a $50 million Incremental Revolving Facility. This move, facilitated through an agreement with KKR Loan Administration Services LLC and PNC Bank, National Association, suggests possible plans for expansion.
The company's earnings and revenue results for the first quarter of 2024 indicated a slowdown in growth. In response, both Loop Capital and Piper Sandler adjusted their price targets for Savers. The company also expanded its presence into the Southeast market through the acquisition of 2 Peaches Group and appointed a new Chief Financial Officer, Michael Maher. These are the latest developments in the dynamic environment in which Savers Value Village operates.
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