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Roth/MKM lowers Constellation Brands shares target amid revised Q1 outlook

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 07/05/2024, 08:28 AM
STZ
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On Friday, Roth/MKM slightly adjusted its price target for Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ) shares. The new target is set at $303, a modest decrease from the previous $305. Despite this change, the firm maintains a Buy rating on the company's stock.

The revision follows Constellation Brands' first-quarter results, which showcased a steady revenue performance and a notable increase in beer profitability, leading to an earnings per share (EPS) figure that surpassed expectations.

The maintained positive outlook is based on several factors that could potentially drive further growth for Constellation Brands. The company is poised to benefit from improved beer industry trends that have been observed in June. Additionally, Constellation's own beer scanner trends have shown acceleration, indicating a strong consumer uptake.

Constellation Brands is also expected to see an uplift from its on-premise sales, particularly as its Modelo brand has gained tap handles and Corona's performance normalizes.

This is anticipated to boost on-premise sales, which were just 2% in the first quarter. Furthermore, planned price increases in the fall are likely to reinforce the recent improvements seen in margins.

The firm's reassurance of the Buy rating, despite the slight decrease in the price target, reflects confidence in Constellation Brands' market position and its ability to capitalize on current trends. The company's strategic moves and favorable market dynamics are seen as key drivers for continued financial success.

Overall, Roth/MKM's updated assessment of Constellation Brands underscores a belief in the company's ongoing potential to outperform, backed by solid industry trends and internal business strategies. The minor price target adjustment does not seem to dampen the firm's optimistic view of the stock's future trajectory.

In other recent news, Constellation Brands has begun fiscal year 2025 with a robust start, primarily attributed to its Beer division. The company's first quarter earnings surpassed consensus estimates, reporting earnings per share of $3.57, with BMO Capital maintaining an Outperform rating and a $315.00 price target.

Jefferies also raised its target price slightly to $311, noting solid volume growth and expanding margins. Despite a 7% decline in net sales in the Wine and Spirits business, the company is on track to meet its full-year guidance.

Meanwhile, Kuaishou Technology, a prominent short video platform in China, has been assigned a Buy rating by Citi. The firm emphasized Kuaishou's impressive user engagement and potential for continued margin expansion. These recent developments highlight the company's robust growth in ecommerce gross merchandise value.

Constellation Brands' Beer portfolio achieved high-single digit net sales growth, marking a 57th consecutive quarter of depletion growth. The company returned $185 million to shareholders through dividends and executed $200 million in share repurchases. Analysts from both BMO Capital and Jefferies have expressed confidence in the company's financial prospects, highlighting its strong positioning and performance.

InvestingPro Insights

Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ) not only continues to impress with its robust financial performance but also exhibits a strong commitment to shareholder returns, as evidenced by its nine-year streak of dividend increases. This dedication to consistent dividend growth aligns with the company's solid fundamentals, highlighted by a market capitalization of $45.62 billion and a healthy P/E ratio standing at 18.65. These figures reflect the company's stable footing in the market and its ability to sustain profitability, a sentiment echoed by analysts who predict profitability for the current year.

InvestingPro Tips further reveal that Constellation Brands has a strong liquidity position, with liquid assets surpassing short-term obligations. This financial prudence is crucial for the company's long-term strategy and provides a buffer against unforeseen market fluctuations. Moreover, the company's revenue growth shows a positive trend, with a 5.25% increase over the last twelve months as of Q1 2025, and a gross profit margin of 51.12%, emphasizing its efficiency in converting sales into profits.

For readers looking to delve deeper into Constellation Brands' performance metrics and gain additional insights, there are more InvestingPro Tips available at https://www.investing.com/pro/STZ. Use the exclusive coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription, and discover the full range of expert analysis and tips tailored to enhance your investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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