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Roth/MKM boosts Roblox shares target on potential 2Q beat

EditorIsmeta Mujdragic
Published 07/29/2024, 10:30 AM
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On Monday, Roth/MKM increased the price target for Roblox Corp. (NYSE: RBLX) shares from $35.00 to $42.00, while maintaining a Neutral rating on the stock.

The firm anticipates that Roblox may exceed second-quarter expectations due to stronger user engagement observed in May and June. Despite the potential for a quarterly beat, the analyst suggests that this may not significantly impact the stock price, as the improved performance appears to be already factored in by the market.

The firm's decision to raise the price target is based on the belief in Roblox's long-term growth potential, particularly as the company aims to expand into a business model with three revenue streams. However, the analyst cautions that the transition towards this model is expected to be gradual and may encounter challenges.

Roblox's strategy involves diversifying its revenue, which currently relies heavily on its gaming platform's in-game purchases. The expansion into a tripartite revenue model is part of the company's efforts to solidify its financial foundation and ensure sustained growth. The firm's updated price target of $42.00 is approximately 7 times their estimated 2024 bookings for Roblox.

The company's shares have responded to various internal and external factors, and the market has seemingly integrated the latest improvements in user engagement into the current share price. While the raised price target reflects a positive outlook on Roblox's future performance, the Neutral rating indicates a cautious approach to the stock's near-term valuation.

The analyst's commentary highlights the potential for Roblox to outperform in the second quarter but also points out the challenges inherent in the company's evolution towards a more diversified revenue model. Investors will be watching closely to see if Roblox can successfully navigate the anticipated 'bumps' on its growth path.

In other recent news, Roblox Corp has been the subject of multiple analyst evaluations. Jefferies maintained a Hold rating on Roblox shares but lowered its target from $51 to $42, citing concerns about the company's ambitious growth and margin expectations. Roblox's guidance for the second quarter indicates a year-over-year growth of 11-15%, with an aim to return to over 20% bookings growth from the fiscal year 2025 to 2027.

On the other hand, Wells Fargo increased its price target for Roblox shares to $43, maintaining an Overweight rating due to improvements in user engagement data. Macquarie also initiated coverage on Roblox with an outperform rating and a price target of $46, highlighting the platform's distinctive niche in the gaming industry.

In contrast, Citi revised its price target for Roblox downwards to $40 from the previous $52, following the company's first-quarter results for 2024 and a revised forecast, but still maintains a Buy rating for the stock.

In investment news, Cathie Wood's ARK ETFs purchased 19,238 shares of Roblox Corp, indicating growing confidence in the online gaming platform.

InvestingPro Insights

Roblox Corporation (NYSE: RBLX) appears to be navigating a transformative period with strategic shifts aimed at long-term growth. According to the latest metrics from InvestingPro, Roblox holds a market capitalization of approximately $25.93 billion. Despite the challenges outlined by analysts, Roblox's revenue growth remains robust, with a 25.69% increase over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024. This is further supported by a quarterly revenue growth of 22.27% in Q1 2024, indicating sustained momentum in the company's financial performance.

InvestingPro Tips suggest that Roblox holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, providing a degree of financial flexibility. Additionally, analysts anticipate sales growth in the current year, reflecting optimism about the company's revenue prospects. Notably, 5 analysts have revised their earnings estimates upwards for the upcoming period, which could signal confidence in Roblox's operational efficiency and market strategy.

While the company's stock price movements have been volatile, and analysts do not expect profitability this year, the strategic initiatives may position Roblox for future profitability. For investors seeking a comprehensive analysis, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available, which can be accessed with the exclusive coupon code PRONEWS24 for up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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