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Rosenblatt sees upside for Arm Holdings shares, projecting double-digit royalties from updated Arm Total Design program

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 10/16/2024, 09:51 AM
ARM
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On Wednesday, Rosenblatt maintained a positive outlook on Arm Holdings (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:ARM), reaffirming a Buy rating and a price target of $180.00. The firm highlighted Arm's recent expansion of its Arm Total Design program, which now integrates a broader range of ecosystem partnerships, surpassing 30 collaborators. Among these partnerships are notable industry players such as Samsung (KS:005930) Foundry, ADTechnology, and Rebellions.

The company has also unveiled a new initiative focused on sustainable AI, collaborating with Alcor Micro and Alphawave, and aligning with TSMC's process roadmaps. This innovative chiplet program is designed to expedite the development of custom solutions for cloud computing, high-performance computing (HPC), and artificial intelligence/machine learning (AI/ML) applications, particularly for inference tasks.

Arm's approach, according to Rosenblatt, is strategically positioned to democratize the development process, allowing a broader range of companies to compete with Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA)'s Grace/Hopper platform, which does not utilize a chiplet-based design. The chiplet model is considered crucial for achieving scalability, enhanced performance, and energy efficiency in System on Chip (SoC) and AI designs.

The analyst also noted that Arm's updated design and customer support services programs are expected to continue attracting customer engagements. These engagements are anticipated to generate significant royalty revenues, potentially reaching double digits. The firm views Arm's strategy of enabling compatibility across multiple vendors through mix-and-match components as a significant and unique opportunity for the company to grow and capture market share.

In other recent news, Arm, a significant player in the computing technology sector, has been included in the PHLX Semiconductor Sector Index, marking a significant milestone in the company's growth. The company also reported a 39% year-on-year revenue growth, primarily driven by licensing and royalty revenue, particularly in AI applications and smartphone segments, and maintains its revenue guidance for the fiscal year between $3.8 billion and $4.1 billion. The recent appointment of industry veteran Young Sohn to its board of directors is another notable development at Arm.

On the analyst front, Morgan Stanley reaffirmed its Overweight rating on Arm, highlighting the company's potential to capitalize on the shift towards edge AI and the increasing adoption of Armv9 architecture in mobile devices. Loop Capital and TD Cowen also maintained their Buy ratings, reflecting Arm's strong performance in licensing and potential market share growth.

In the broader semiconductor industry, Marvell (NASDAQ:MRVL) Technology Group Ltd maintained its Buy rating despite the Intel Corp and Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) Web Services (AWS) deal, suggesting minimal impact on Marvell due to its leadership in supplying ARM-based critical IP building blocks. Truist Securities held its rating for Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC), acknowledging recent strategic developments such as the $3 billion injection from the U.S. government and the spin-off of Intel Foundry, but maintained that these do not offset the challenges facing the company.

InvestingPro Insights

Arm Holdings' recent strategic moves align well with its financial performance and market position. According to InvestingPro data, the company's revenue growth is robust, with a 31.37% increase in the last twelve months as of Q1 2023. This growth is even more pronounced in the quarterly figures, showing a 39.11% increase in Q1 2023. These metrics support Rosenblatt's positive outlook on Arm's expanding partnerships and innovative initiatives.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Arm operates with a moderate level of debt and has liquid assets exceeding short-term obligations, suggesting a solid financial foundation to support its ambitious growth plans. The company's high return over the last year, with a remarkable 189.25% price total return, reflects investor confidence in Arm's strategic direction.

However, investors should note that Arm is trading at high valuation multiples across various metrics, including earnings, EBIT, EBITDA, and revenue. This premium valuation underscores the market's high expectations for Arm's future performance and the potential success of its expanded Total Design program and sustainable AI initiatives.

For readers interested in a deeper analysis, InvestingPro offers 12 additional tips for Arm Holdings, providing a comprehensive view of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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