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Roku stock target raised, rating held on strong user base growth

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 10/03/2024, 09:34 AM
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On Thursday, Macquarie adjusted its outlook on Roku Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:ROKU) shares, increasing the price target to $90 from the previous $72 while maintaining an Outperform rating. The company's growth in active accounts, which now stands at 84 million, was a key factor in the revised target. Roku's operating system continues to lead the U.S. market as the top-selling TV OS, outperforming the combined unit sales of the next two competitors.

Roku's content offering, The Roku Channel, is also expanding its market presence, now capturing 1.7% of TV time and closely trailing the FAST leader Tubi, which has 1.8%. The Roku Channel appears to be insulated from the cost-per-mille (CPM) pricing pressures affecting other premium connected TV (CTV) services, maintaining stable CPMs in the high teens to low twenties dollar range.

The company is now focusing on monetizing its substantial user base through various initiatives aimed at enhancing the attractiveness and targetability of its CTV advertising. Roku has attracted upper-funnel brand advertisers from sectors beyond media and entertainment by offering significant reach on its home screen, which draws 120 million users daily.

Further integration with demand-side platforms (DSPs) has been a strategic move for Roku, exemplified by its data-sharing with The Trade Desk (NASDAQ:TTD), which aims to attract larger advertising demand pools. Additionally, Roku's introduction of the Ads Manager self-service tool simplifies the process for smaller advertisers, including e-commerce providers, to locate and target audiences on the platform, potentially increasing performance-based advertising budgets.

The analyst also noted that subscription price increases across the streaming services available on Roku's platform could provide another boost to the company's revenue growth. This comprehensive strategy underscores Roku's commitment to leveraging its user base and content offerings to strengthen its position in the competitive streaming market.

In other recent news, Roku has been the subject of several financial adjustments and strategic shifts. MoffettNathanson upgraded Roku's stock to a Neutral rating due to an improved revenue outlook, while Baird, BofA Securities, and Seaport Global Securities all raised their price targets for the company. Roku's revenue growth and profitability have been under scrutiny, but recent changes in leadership and strategy have led to a more stable outlook.

The company has also made significant alterations to its Executive Supplemental Stock Option Program, allowing executives to receive monthly grants of fully vested non-statutory stock options in lieu of a portion of their annual base salary. Furthermore, Roku has secured a new credit agreement with Citibank N.A., providing a revolving credit facility up to $300 million, set to mature in 2029.

Roku's strategic initiatives have seen a focus on enhancing advertising strategies, as evidenced by the introduction of the new Roku Ads Manager, a self-service advertising solution integrated with Shopify (NYSE:SHOP).

Analysts from firms such as Needham and Oppenheimer have provided their own assessments of Roku's future prospects, with Needham maintaining a Buy rating and forecasting revenues of $1.01 billion for the third quarter of 2024. However, Oppenheimer has maintained a Perform rating, expressing caution about investor expectations for the company's platform revenue.

InvestingPro Insights

Roku's recent performance and market position align with several key insights from InvestingPro. The company's revenue growth of 16.46% over the last twelve months supports Macquarie's optimistic outlook. This growth is particularly noteworthy given Roku's already substantial market presence, with 84 million active accounts.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Roku holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet and that its liquid assets exceed short-term obligations. These factors contribute to the company's financial stability as it pursues growth initiatives in content and advertising. Moreover, the strong return over the last month (13.74%) and three months (19.09%) reflects positive market sentiment, possibly influenced by Roku's expanding market share and strategic moves in the advertising space.

However, it is important to note that Roku is not currently profitable, with a negative operating income margin of -7.01%. This aligns with the InvestingPro Tip that analysts do not anticipate the company will be profitable this year. Despite this, Roku's focus on monetizing its user base and expanding advertising initiatives could potentially improve its financial performance in the future.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 7 additional tips for Roku, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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