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RBC upgrades Johnson Controls stock, cites de-risked outlook with Elliott support

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 08/14/2024, 03:28 AM
JCI
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On Wednesday, RBC Capital Markets adjusted its stance on Johnson Controls (NYSE:JCI) International plc (NYSE:JCI) stock, moving its rating from Underperform to Sector Perform and increasing the price target to $69 from the previous $61.

The decision comes after Johnson Controls announced strategic changes and a leadership shift, as well as engaging in discussions with shareholder Elliott Management.

The firm believes these developments have mitigated risks and created a more balanced risk-reward scenario for the company. Activist investors had previously contemplated pushing for a more significant overhaul of the company's portfolio; however, the likelihood of such disruptive actions now seems reduced.

Johnson Controls, which specializes in building products and technology solutions, has been identified by RBC Capital Markets as the lowest-ranked company in their earnings quality assessment. Despite this, the analyst acknowledges the potential for Johnson Controls, particularly in the datacenter sector, which is seen as a promising area for growth.

The new price target suggests a modest upside of approximately 4%, which supports the updated Sector Perform rating. This adjustment reflects the analyst's view that the company's recent strategic moves have made its investment case more neutral, with potential improvements on the horizon.

In other recent news, Johnson Controls International has reported robust financial performance for the third quarter of 2024, with a 3% organic sales growth and a segment margin of 17.9%. The company also revealed a 10% increase in its backlog, reaching $12.9 billion.

In the midst of these financial developments, the company is undergoing significant changes, including the retirement of CEO George Oliver and the appointment of Patrick Decker, former CEO of Xylem (NYSE:XYL), to its Board of Directors.

RBC Capital and Oppenheimer have adjusted their price targets for Johnson Controls, with RBC setting it at $61 and Oppenheimer at $79. Both firms maintain their respective Underperform and Outperform ratings on the company's stock.

As part of its strategic shift, Johnson Controls is divesting its Residential and Light Commercial HVAC and Air Distribution Technologies businesses to focus on becoming a pure-play provider for commercial building solutions, particularly data centers.

This transformation is expected to drive growth in the upcoming quarters, according to Oppenheimer. The company's strong financial results and optimistic guidance reflect confidence in its future direction and operational strategy.

InvestingPro Insights

Following the recent strategic changes and leadership shifts at Johnson Controls International plc, the company's financial health and market performance offer additional insights. With a market capitalization of $45.3 billion and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 28.36, Johnson Controls operates with a moderate level of debt, which aligns with the company's strategy for maintaining financial flexibility.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Johnson Controls has not only raised its dividend for 3 consecutive years but has also maintained dividend payments for 54 consecutive years, showcasing a strong commitment to shareholder returns. Additionally, 13 analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, indicating a positive outlook on the company's financial performance. The company is also recognized as a prominent player in the Building Products industry, which may further solidify its position in the market.

Despite the modest revenue growth of 1.19% over the last twelve months as of Q3 2024, the company's gross profit margin stands at a healthy 32.93%. Furthermore, the stock's year-to-date price total return of 18.98% and a 1-year price total return of 17.0% reflect investor confidence. For those interested in exploring more about Johnson Controls' investment potential, additional InvestingPro Tips can be found at https://www.investing.com/pro/JCI, offering a deeper dive into the company's prospects.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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