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RBC Capital cuts National Grid shares target, cites investment strategy adjustments

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 05/28/2024, 04:59 AM
NGG
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On Tuesday, RBC Capital adjusted its outlook on National Grid (LON:NG:LN) (NYSE: NGG) shares, lowering the price target to GBP11.25 from GBP12.50, yet maintaining an Outperform rating. The firm's decision comes amid considerations of the company's financial strategy and investment plans.

National Grid, which operates the electricity and gas transmission network in the UK and parts of the US, has been under scrutiny regarding its balance sheet.

RBC Capital acknowledges that National Grid's recent capital raise has effectively addressed these concerns. The GBP7 billion raised should be viewed within the context of the company's larger GBP60 billion investment strategy, which is notably higher than the consensus estimate of around GBP50 billion.

The analyst from RBC Capital noted that despite fluctuations in interest rates, the risk associated with the timing into the RIIO-T3 regulatory period appears limited. RIIO-T3 is the upcoming regulatory framework that will set the price controls for electricity transmission for the next several years in the UK.

In terms of medium-term prospects, National Grid's guidance on asset growth and earnings is considered attractive when compared to its regulated industry peers.

The firm reiterates confidence in the utility company's performance, as reflected in the Outperform rating, despite the revised price target of 1,125 pence per share.

The updated price target reflects a more conservative valuation, aligning with the broader economic environment and the company's financial maneuvers. National Grid's strategic investments and financial guidance continue to be a focal point for analysts monitoring the utility sector.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of the recent analysis by RBC Capital on National Grid (NYSE: NGG), InvestingPro data and tips provide additional context to the company's financial outlook. National Grid has demonstrated a commitment to shareholder returns, having increased its dividend for 5 consecutive years and maintained dividend payments for 29 years. This consistency is a positive signal for investors looking for stable income, especially as the stock currently trades near its 52-week low, potentially offering an attractive entry point.

From a valuation perspective, National Grid's adjusted P/E ratio stands at 14.9, with a more favorable forward P/E based on the last twelve months as of Q4 2024 at 11.23. Despite recent revenue contraction, the company has maintained a strong operating income margin of 20.17% over the same period. Additionally, the dividend yield as of the most recent data is appealing at 3.89%, supported by a notable dividend growth of 15.6% in the last twelve months.

For investors seeking more in-depth analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips, including the stock's oversold status according to the RSI indicator, and analysts' predictions of profitability for the current year. Interested readers can explore further by visiting InvestingPro, and use coupon code PRONEWS24 to receive an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription. With 7 more InvestingPro Tips available, subscribers can gain comprehensive insights to better inform their investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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