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Piper Sandler ups Live Oak stock target, keeps Neutral rating on strong reserve position

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 07/29/2024, 09:21 AM
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On Monday, Piper Sandler adjusted its view on Live Oak Bancshares (NYSE: NYSE:LOB), increasing the price target to $46.00 from the previous $36.00 while maintaining a Neutral rating on the stock. The firm's decision comes after a 7% increase in the bank's shares following its earnings report, which was influenced by market adaptations to interest rate cuts and a clearer view of the bank's financial margins.

The bank's management has addressed credit concerns, noting that the reserve levels are high compared to both current and potential net charge-offs. Additionally, the bank has seen a decrease in provisions, non-accruals, and reserves after previously bolstering the reserve in recent quarters.

Despite a reduction in the 2024 earnings per share (EPS) estimate to $2.03 from $2.12 due to a slightly lower near-term margin, Piper Sandler raised its 2025 EPS forecast to $2.78 from $2.76. The new price target of $46 reflects a change in the valuation multiple to approximately 16.5 times the 2025 EPS estimate, a slight decrease from the previous 17 times multiple. This adjustment accounts for the reduced certainty looking one year ahead, but also considers an improving rate environment for Live Oak Bancshares.

The updated valuation is based on a longer-term perspective, with the firm shifting its focus to the 2025 estimates. This strategic move indicates a balance between current market conditions and future financial performance expectations for Live Oak Bancshares.

In other recent news, Live Oak Bancshares has shown promising performance in its Q2 2024 report, with core earnings per share (EPS) of $0.56 exceeding expectations due to effective cost management. The bank's revenue grew by 10% in the first half of the year, and a near-record $1.2 billion in loan originations was reported for Q2 2024. JPMorgan analysts have maintained an Overweight rating on Live Oak Bancshares, raising the price target to $55 from $45, citing the bank's disciplined cost control as a key factor.

Live Oak Bancshares' Q1 2024 results also highlighted a decrease in loan originations to $805 million, but a record-high pipeline for future loans suggests potential growth. The company's EPS was reported at $0.36, while deposits saw a 10% increase, reaching $10.5 billion, largely due to business deposits. The bank is actively hiring revenue generators and forecasts high-single-digit expense growth for 2024.

Live Oak Bancshares is investing in several initiatives such as embedded banking, business checking, small dollar SBA loans, additional revenue producers, and artificial intelligence applications. Despite a slight contraction in the net interest margin (NIM), the bank is anticipated to experience NIM expansion through the remainder of the year, with the target NIM range of 3.50-3.75% now projected to be reached in 2025.

InvestingPro Insights

As investors digest Piper Sandler's updated outlook on Live Oak Bancshares, it might be useful to consider some key metrics and insights from InvestingPro. The company's P/E Ratio, as of the last twelve months ending Q2 2024, stands at 18.78, which could suggest the stock is trading at a fair value relative to its earnings. Additionally, the stock has experienced a robust 30.23% return over the last month, aligning with the positive sentiment reflected in the recent price target adjustment.

InvestingPro Tips indicate that analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, hinting at potential optimism surrounding the company's financial prospects. Moreover, the company has demonstrated a commitment to returning value to shareholders, maintaining dividend payments for 10 consecutive years, with a dividend yield of 0.26% as of the latest data.

For investors seeking more detailed analysis and additional tips, there are 9 more InvestingPro Tips available for Live Oak Bancshares, which can be accessed through InvestingPro. To get the most out of this service, use coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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