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Penumbra stock sees downgrade from Citi as revenue visibility diminishes

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 07/31/2024, 03:53 AM
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On Wednesday, Citi downgraded Penumbra (NYSE:PEN) stock from Buy to Neutral and significantly reduced the price target to $178 from $265.

The medical device company reported second-quarter revenue of $299.4 million, a 14.7% year-over-year increase excluding foreign exchange impacts, beating both the consensus estimate of $298 million and its own guidance range of $297-$298 million. Penumbra's operating margins improved, rising to 10.6% from the previous year's 7.8%, and earnings per share (EPS) of $0.64 exceeded the consensus forecast of $0.56.

Despite these positive results, Penumbra lowered its full-year 2024 revenue guidance to between $1.180 billion and $1.200 billion, marking an 11.5-13.4% increase but down from the previous forecast of $1.230 billion to $1.270 billion. This adjustment represents a $60 million reduction at the midpoint compared to earlier projections.

Management cited multiple factors for the revision, suggesting a mix of transitional issues and a conservative approach without indicating a fundamental shift in the business.

The downgrade reflects concerns over the substantial reduction in revenue guidance and questions regarding on-the-ground activities, especially within the U.S. thrombectomy market.

Citi pointed out that the competition appears to be growing more intense, and unforeseen specific challenges are expected in the second half of 2024. These factors have led to reduced clarity on Penumbra's core business performance moving forward.

In other recent news, Penumbra, a medical technology company, has been the subject of various developments. The company reported strong first-quarter results for 2024 with total revenues reaching $278.7 million, a 15.4% increase from the previous year. U.S. thrombectomy revenue saw a significant surge of 35.2%, contributing to an optimistic outlook for the year.

Truist Securities, Baird, and Piper Sandler have adjusted their price targets for Penumbra, citing a more conservative outlook for the company's financial performance. Despite the reduced targets, all firms maintain a positive rating on the stock.

Penumbra's management expects continued margin expansion throughout 2024 and plans to launch three new CAVT products in the next 12 months. These recent developments highlight Penumbra's ongoing efforts to maintain its competitive edge in the thrombectomy device market.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of Citi's downgrade of Penumbra, it's pertinent to consider additional insights provided by InvestingPro. Penumbra's market capitalization stands at $6.71 billion, with a high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 71.5, indicating the stock is trading at a premium compared to earnings. Despite recent price declines, with the stock near its 52-week low and a one-week price total return of -10.42%, Penumbra's fundamentals reveal a company with solid financial health. The firm's liquid assets are more than adequate to cover short-term obligations, and its cash flows can sufficiently cover interest payments.

InvestingPro Tips that are particularly relevant considering the context of the article include the company's moderate level of debt and the prediction by analysts that Penumbra will be profitable this year. These factors, coupled with a revenue growth of 23.87% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, suggest underlying strength in the company's business model, despite recent setbacks and market reactions.

For readers seeking a deeper analysis, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available that could provide further clarity on Penumbra's valuation and performance prospects. Use coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription, unlocking access to these valuable insights.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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