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Penumbra stock outlook brightens on share gains and robust VTE growth

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 10/31/2024, 06:14 AM
PEN
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On Thursday, Deutsche Bank updated its price target for Penumbra (NYSE:PEN), a healthcare company specializing in innovative medical devices. The new price target is set at $241, raised from the previous $205, while the firm maintains a Buy rating on the stock.

This adjustment comes after Penumbra's third-quarter revenues of $301 million surpassed the expected $297 million, marking an 11% year-over-year growth. The increase was primarily attributed to the robust performance in the Thrombectomy product line and consistent results in Embolization/Access.

The significant growth in the U.S. Venous Thromboembolism (VTE) category, which saw a 32% increase, was highlighted as a key driver of the company's success. This growth is seen as part of a broader market expansion, with the sector experiencing over 20% growth in the third quarter. Penumbra's market share gains are attributed to the positive reception of its LF 2.0 product.

Additionally, the company's third-quarter profitability trends were encouraging, with both gross and operating margins exceeding expectations. This reflects a favorable product and geographic mix, as well as operational improvements.

Penumbra's earnings per share (EPS) for the third quarter also beat consensus, coming in at 85 cents compared to the anticipated 69 cents. Deutsche Bank's positive stance on Penumbra's shares is based on a bullish outlook for the U.S. VTE thrombectomy market. The recent Transcatheter Cardiovascular Therapeutics (TCT) meeting, where new data presentations were given, has reinforced the expectation of strong market growth for VTE interventions, particularly mechanical thrombectomy (MT), in the coming years.

Furthermore, positive trial data from a competitor's study is expected to accelerate the shift from lytic-based to lytic-free catheter procedures, which could benefit the entire MT category. Although the competitor's FlowTriever may see a short-term advantage, Penumbra's continuous market share capture and the positive reception of its CAVT technology suggest a strong position for the company. The interim data from the STRIKE-PE trial, which showed low rates of blood loss and efficiency gains with LF intervention, further supports the company's prospects.

The structural trend of medical centers building out Pulmonary Embolism Response Teams (PERT) also adds to the confidence in sustained market growth over the next few years, as indicated by the analyst's remarks on the industry's direction.

In other recent news, Penumbra, a healthcare company specializing in innovative medical devices, has seen a series of significant developments. The company's third-quarter financial results for 2024 revealed revenues of $301.0 million, indicating an 11.1% growth year-over-year. Penumbra's adjusted earnings per share for the quarter stood at $0.85, surpassing both BTIG's and consensus estimates. BTIG adjusted the price target for Penumbra to $232.00, down from $234.00, while maintaining a Buy rating on the stock.

Despite witnessing declines in markets outside the United States, the company has reaffirmed its full-year 2024 revenue guidance to be between $1.18 billion and $1.20 billion. Penumbra has also completed enrollment for its Thunderbolt study, which is expected to contribute positively to the company's performance in the second half of 2025, especially within its Neurovascular division.

Additionally, Penumbra initiated a $100 million share buyback program and plans to launch three new computer-assisted vacuum thrombectomy products within the next nine months. Various analyst firms such as Needham, Piper Sandler, Canaccord Genuity, and Stifel have provided their ratings and price targets for Penumbra, reflecting confidence in the company's market position and future prospects. These are some of the recent developments involving Penumbra Inc .

InvestingPro Insights

Penumbra's recent performance and Deutsche Bank's bullish outlook are further supported by real-time data from InvestingPro. The company's revenue growth of 20.89% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024 aligns with the strong performance noted in the article, particularly in the Thrombectomy product line. This growth is reflected in the stock's impressive 26.45% price return over the past three months.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Penumbra is profitable over the last twelve months and analysts predict continued profitability this year, which corroborates the positive earnings report mentioned in the article. The company's ability to cover interest payments with its cash flows and its operation with a moderate level of debt suggest financial stability, which could support future growth initiatives in the expanding VTE market.

For investors seeking a deeper understanding of Penumbra's financial health and market position, InvestingPro offers 12 additional tips, providing a comprehensive analysis to inform investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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