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Pegasystems shares upgraded to Outperform by William Blair

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 07/31/2024, 11:43 AM
PEGA
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On Wednesday, William Blair upgraded Pegasystems (NASDAQ:PEGA) shares from Market Perform to Outperform, citing a favorable appellate court ruling and improving company fundamentals. The court reversed the initial judgment in a trade secret case with Appian (NASDAQ:APPN), which had previously resulted in a $2 billion verdict against Pegasystems. The analyst noted that while there is a possibility of a retrial, the appeal's outcome limits the potential downside for Pegasystems' stock.

The firm also highlighted Pegasystems' successful transition to a subscription-based model, which has led to a significant improvement in free cash flow margins. From a low of -5.8% in 2019, margins are estimated to reach 23.6% in 2024. This financial strength is seen as providing flexibility for Pegasystems, even if a settlement with Appian were to occur.

Additionally, the analyst pointed to strong demand for Pegasystems' new GenAI solutions. Over 100 customers have created more than 30,000 application blueprints using the GenAI blueprint solution, and several new platform deals have been closed. This uptake suggests potential for accelerated growth, supported by a recent increase in Annual Contract Value (ACV) growth to 13%, up from 9% in the first quarter of 2024.

Pegasystems' GenAI offerings are also expected to improve sales efficiency by shortening the ideation and planning phases of application development. This efficiency could lead to increased investment in acquiring new customers and shorter sales cycles with existing ones, positively impacting both revenue and margins.

In other recent news, Pegasystems Inc . has experienced significant developments both legally and financially. The Virginia Court of Appeals has reversed a previous verdict against Pegasystems in a lawsuit with Appian Corporation, leading to a new trial. This development has positively influenced JMP Securities, JPMorgan, and RBC Capital who have all adjusted their price targets for Pegasystems, now set at $85, $83, and $90 respectively.

In terms of financial performance, Pegasystems reported robust second-quarter results, with a 13% year-over-year increase in annual contract value (ACV) in constant currency, exceeding $1.3 billion. The company's free cash flow reached $218 million, a substantial 62% of Pega's $350 million target for 2024.

These adjustments by JMP Securities, JPMorgan, and RBC Capital reflect the company's ongoing growth and profitability, as well as the potential for growth through Generative AI. These recent developments are expected to provide a clearer outlook for the company's future.

InvestingPro Insights

Following the upgrade of Pegasystems by William Blair, real-time data from InvestingPro provides additional context to the company's current financial standing. Pegasystems is currently trading at a high Price / Book multiple of 13.85 as of Q2 2024, indicating a premium valuation by the market.

This metric aligns with the strong performance observed, with a robust 15.43% revenue growth over the last twelve months and a substantial gross profit margin of nearly 74.77%. The company's operational efficiency is also reflected in a solid operating income margin of 12.64%.

InvestingPro Tips suggest that Pegasystems' net income is expected to grow this year, which could be a driving factor behind the positive outlook from analysts. Moreover, the company's stock is currently in overbought territory according to the RSI, suggesting that the market is very bullish on Pegasystems' prospects. This enthusiasm is further underscored by the company's significant return over the last week, month, and six months, with price total returns of 15.71%, 16.86%, and 45.19%, respectively.

For readers who are considering Pegasystems as an investment opportunity, there are more InvestingPro Tips available, providing deeper insights into the company's financial health and stock performance. Currently, there are 16 additional tips listed in InvestingPro for Pegasystems, which can be accessed for more comprehensive analysis.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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