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NVIDIA stock to gain as Blackwell demand drives growth - Bernstein

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 08/29/2024, 03:00 AM
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On Thursday, Bernstein, a research firm, increased its price target on shares of NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) to $155 from the previous $130, while maintaining an Outperform rating on the stock. The adjustment reflects the firm's positive view on the company's performance and future prospects, particularly in the datacenter sector.

The firm highlighted that NVIDIA continues to meet high expectations, with a clear path for datacenter sequential growth into the year-end. The introduction of "several" billion dollars of incremental Blackwell revenue in the fourth fiscal quarter is expected to contribute to solid further sequential growth.

Additionally, the firm anticipates that the Hopper architecture could maintain its sequential strength, potentially accelerating NVIDIA's growth trajectory.

Demand for NVIDIA's Blackwell product remains exceptionally high, which is anticipated to drive significant growth in the coming year. The company has also revised its expectations for Sovereign AI, now forecasting revenue in the low double-digit billions for this year.

NVIDIA's customer base is diversifying, with noted improvements in its networking segment, which is also expanding. Moreover, the firm's software revenue is on track to reach a $2 billion run-rate by the end of the year, doubling the $1 billion run-rate projected a few quarters earlier.

This price target upgrade comes as NVIDIA demonstrates robust performance and growth across multiple segments, signaling confidence in the company's momentum and market position.

In other recent news, Nvidia has been making headlines with its latest financial developments. Despite surpassing Wall Street's profit, revenue, and outlook expectations, Nvidia's shares fell by 7%, reflecting investor caution.

This occurred even as the company experienced a surge in demand for its AI chips, particularly from nations investing in AI models tailored to their own languages.

In the same vein, Nvidia's Chief Financial Officer, Colette Kress, projected that the adoption of AI applications by countries could add low double-digit billions to Nvidia's revenue for the financial year ending January 2025. However, Nvidia's third-quarter revenue forecast fell short of investor expectations, forecasting about $32.5 billion in total revenue for the quarter ending in October.

On the analyst front, Tony Sycamore from IG suggested that Nvidia's recent success may have set expectations too high, hinting at the possibility of investors diversifying their interests into other chipmakers.

Furthermore, despite the company's recent financial performance, Nvidia's third-quarter gross margin forecast might not meet market expectations, a development that has led to a decline in shares for other tech giants.

In the broader market, investors are closely watching the U.S. weekly jobless claims, inflation data from Germany and Spain, and the final U.S. Q2 GDP reading. Additionally, panel discussions featuring ECB chief economist Philip R.

Lane, as well as ECB deputy governors Aino Bunge (NYSE:BG) and Olli Rehn, are expected to shape market directions. Despite the recent developments, Nvidia remains a key player in the AI market, with substantial gains year-to-date.

InvestingPro Insights

As NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) garners an optimistic outlook from Bernstein, real-time data from InvestingPro complements this perspective. NVIDIA's market capitalization stands at a formidable $3090.0 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the industry. The company's substantial revenue growth over the last twelve months, at 208.27%, underscores its rapid expansion, particularly in the datacenter sector that Bernstein highlighted. With a gross profit margin of 75.29%, NVIDIA demonstrates strong profitability and efficiency in its operations.

An InvestingPro Tip that aligns with Bernstein's analysis is NVIDIA's anticipated sales growth in the current year, which suggests a continued upward trajectory for the company. Additionally, NVIDIA's prominent status as a key player in the Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment industry is affirmed by its perfect Piotroski Score of 9, indicating high financial health. For investors seeking more in-depth analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips on NVIDIA, available at: https://www.investing.com/pro/NVDA.

InvestingPro's fair value estimate of $109.5 for NVIDIA, which is derived from detailed financial analysis, provides a grounded perspective for investors considering the stock's current and potential future performance. With 20 additional InvestingPro Tips available, investors have access to a wealth of insights to guide their investment decisions regarding NVIDIA.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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