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Morgan Stanley sees upside in Ball Corp stock despite near-term challenges

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 09/04/2024, 03:14 AM
BALL
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On Wednesday, Ball Corp (NYSE: BALL) received an upgrade from Morgan Stanley, shifting its stock rating from Equalweight to Overweight. Accompanying this upgrade was a price target increase to $78.00, up from the previous target of $69.00.

The adjustment comes as Morgan Stanley identifies an appealing opportunity for investors, noting the stock's 10% decline from its earlier peak in 2024.

The firm points out that the market might be placing too much emphasis on Ball Corp's recent volume underperformance in North America compared to its peers. Morgan Stanley suggests that the market is not fully recognizing the company's potential for earnings growth in the medium term.

According to the firm's analysis, Ball Corp is positioned to deliver an 11% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in earnings per share (EPS) from 2023 to 2026.

Ball Corp's financial strategy also plays a role in the upgraded rating. The company's low leverage is seen as a support for its leading position in shareholder returns. This financial health, combined with the expected earnings growth, contributes to the analyst's positive outlook.

In conclusion, Morgan Stanley's upgrade reflects a belief in Ball Corp's resilience and prospects for growth. The new price target of $78.00 represents a vote of confidence in the company's ability to overcome near-term challenges and deliver value to its shareholders in the coming years.

In other recent news, Ball Corporation (NYSE:BALL) reported solid Q2 results, with a rise in comparable diluted earnings per share (EPS) from $0.61 to $0.74 year-over-year. The company also announced plans to return over $1.6 billion to shareholders in 2024 and aims for 10%-plus EPS growth in 2025 and beyond. These are among the recent developments for Ball Corporation, which also anticipates low to mid single-digit growth in global shipments for the full year.

Furthermore, Baird upgraded Ball Corporation's stock rating from Neutral to Outperform, citing the company's strategic shift towards self-improvement as the primary reason for the optimistic outlook. This shift includes a focus on optimizing and modernizing its operational footprint and utilizing share buybacks as a main channel for free cash flow allocation.

Baird expects these strategic moves to drive double-digit earnings growth for Ball Corporation in the future. The firm also expressed confidence in Ball Corporation's potential to achieve significant earnings expansion, based on the company's internal initiatives.

Lastly, Ball Corporation is working towards 80% standardization of its operations within the next two to three years. Despite facing challenges such as a volume decline in Argentina due to regulatory issues and the bankruptcy of a major brewery in Brazil, the company remains optimistic about its performance in the latter half of the year.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of Morgan Stanley's upgrade of Ball Corp, real-time metrics from InvestingPro provide a deeper look into the company's financial health and market performance. With a market capitalization of $19.4 billion, Ball Corp exhibits a low price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 4.77, suggesting that the stock may be undervalued relative to its earnings. The company's revenue for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024 stands at $13.81 billion, with a modest growth rate of 1.97%, indicating steady financial progress.

From an investment standpoint, two InvestingPro Tips stand out. Firstly, Ball Corp's commitment to shareholder returns is highlighted by its track record of maintaining dividend payments for 52 consecutive years, providing a reliable income stream for investors. Secondly, the fact that management has been aggressively buying back shares signals confidence in the company's value and future prospects. These actions align with Morgan Stanley's positive assessment and suggest that Ball Corp is focused on long-term value creation.

For those seeking additional insights, there are over 20 more InvestingPro Tips available, offering an in-depth analysis of Ball Corp's performance and potential investment opportunities. For a comprehensive understanding of Ball Corp's investment profile, visit https://www.investing.com/pro/BALL.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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