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Morgan Stanley projects Sealed Air to trade at discount, cites demand concerns

Published 09/04/2024, 03:09 AM
SEE
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On Wednesday, Morgan Stanley initiated coverage on Sealed Air Corporation (NYSE:SEE) Stock, assigning an Equal weight rating and setting a price target of $39.00. The firm's analysis suggests that Sealed Air may continue to trade at a discount relative to its historical performance due to current market uncertainties.

SEE appears likely to trade at a discount to history until investors see a sustainable demand recovery in its protective segment.

The price target of $39.00 is based on approximately 8.5 times the estimated 2025 enterprise value to EBITDA ratio, which aligns with the broader packaging industry. However, this marks a slight discount compared to the midpoint of Sealed Air's five-year trading range. Morgan Stanley's perspective highlights a balanced risk-reward scenario for the stock, with a potential upside of 28% and a downside of 29%.

The bull case for Sealed Air, according to Morgan Stanley, depends on a faster-than-anticipated recovery in demand, which could lead to quicker debt reduction and the resumption of stock buybacks. Conversely, the bear case suggests that difficult macroeconomic conditions and potential market share losses could result in low single-digit volume declines for the company.

In other recent news, Sealed Air Corporation announced robust Q2 2024 earnings, with sales reaching $1.35 billion and an adjusted EBITDA of $285 million. This strong performance was led by the company's Food segment, which saw a 4% year-over-year volume growth in the first half, driven by increased consumer demand and new business acquisitions. However, the Protective segment of Sealed Air faced challenges, failing to meet expectations due to volume issues.

Citi analysts have maintained a Buy rating on Sealed Air stock and increased the price target from $43 to $44. Despite a projected decrease in Food EBITDA and the Protective segment's underperformance, the overall sentiment from Citi remains positive, with the 2024 net price guidance revised positively by $10 million.

In other developments, Sealed Air appointed Patrick Kivits as the new CEO. The company is also surpassing its guidance on free cash flow due to working capital improvements and earnings per share, resulting from reduced interest expenses. As part of its future strategy, Sealed Air aims to lower net debt to adjusted EBITDA below 3.5 times by the end of 2025.

InvestingPro Insights

As Morgan Stanley weighs in on Sealed Air Corporation with an Equalweight rating, current metrics from InvestingPro provide a deeper financial perspective on the company. With a Market Cap of $5.12 billion and a P/E Ratio sitting at 14.06, Sealed Air shows a valuation that could be enticing to investors looking for stable earnings. The company's Price to Book ratio, as of the last twelve months leading up to Q2 2024, is 7.87, which suggests a premium is being paid for the company's net assets, a point that aligns with Morgan Stanley's view of the stock trading at a discount relative to its historical performance.

An InvestingPro Tip highlights Sealed Air's high shareholder yield, which could be a signal of the company's commitment to returning value to its investors. Additionally, the company has maintained dividend payments for 19 consecutive years, with a Dividend Yield of 2.28%, a testament to its financial resilience and appeal to income-focused investors. For those interested in further analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips on Sealed Air, providing a comprehensive understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

Investors seeking to gauge the potential for Sealed Air's stock may consider these insights alongside Morgan Stanley's analysis. With 13 analysts having revised their earnings downwards for the upcoming period, it becomes crucial to monitor the company's performance closely. For more in-depth analysis and tips, including whether Sealed Air will be able to sustain its profitability, investors can refer to the full suite of InvestingPro Tips available at https://www.investing.com/pro/SEE.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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