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Morgan Stanley downgrades Drax Group stock on lack of extension clarity

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 07/29/2024, 05:13 AM
DRXGY
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On Monday, Morgan Stanley adjusted its stance on Drax Group Plc (LON:DRX:LN) (OTC: DRXGY) stock, downgrading it from Overweight to Equalweight. The firm set a new price target of £6.70, raised from the previous £6.50. The revision reflects the recent performance of the company's shares, which have seen significant growth year-to-date.

Drax Group's shares have notably outperformed the market by approximately 35% since the beginning of the year. This surge in share price was largely influenced by the company's announcement of a £300 million share buyback program, which represents around 12% of its market capitalization, disclosed at its first-half 2024 results.

The analyst from Morgan Stanley indicated that for Drax's valuation to increase further, the market would need to see proof of an extension to the Drax Power Station's operations and more clarity on the financial terms that apply specifically to Drax.

Despite the anticipation of a government response to the UK's bridging mechanism consultation by the end of the year, the analyst expressed skepticism that it would include details pertinent to Drax, suggesting that such specifics might be postponed until 2025.

The downgrade reflects the analyst's view that while the company has been performing well, the potential for additional growth in share value hinges on future developments that are not yet guaranteed. The slight increase in the price target to £6.70 from £6.50, despite the downgrade, indicates a belief that Drax still holds value at its current level of performance.

InvestingPro Insights

As Drax Group Plc (DRXGY) navigates the market with its notable year-to-date performance, insights from InvestingPro suggest a deeper look into the company's financial health and investor returns. An aggressive share buyback strategy, denoted by a PRONEWS24 coupon code for up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription, has been highlighted as a significant move by management, indicating confidence in the company's value.

InvestingPro Tips also underscore a high shareholder yield and a commendable track record of raising dividends for 8 consecutive years, which may be of interest to investors seeking stable returns. Additionally, the company's strong free cash flow yield and low earnings multiple, paired with a low revenue valuation multiple, present a compelling case for its financial attractiveness.

From a data perspective, Drax Group's market capitalization stands at $3.19 billion, with an adjusted P/E ratio of 3.58 for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. Despite a revenue decline of 8.85% during the same period, the company boasts a robust dividend yield of 5.1%, which may appeal to income-focused investors. Moreover, the recent price uptick, with a total return of 9.53% over the past week, aligns with the positive sentiment expressed in the article about the company's recent share price growth.

For those intrigued by these insights, InvestingPro offers an additional 18 tips for a comprehensive analysis of Drax Group's investment potential. Investors may consider these factors when evaluating the company's prospects in light of the recent downgrade by Morgan Stanley.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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