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Mizuho trims Atlassian stock PT target, keeps outperform rating

EditorIsmeta Mujdragic
Published 07/16/2024, 11:07 AM
TEAM
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On Tuesday, Mizuho adjusted its outlook on Atlassian (NASDAQ:TEAM) Corporation (NASDAQ:TEAM), a leading provider of team collaboration and productivity software. The firm reduced the price target to $220.00 from the previous $225.00 while maintaining an Outperform rating on the stock.

The revision comes after Mizuho conducted checks within the enterprise sector, which indicated a generally robust performance, especially for Atlassian's Jira Service Management (JSM) product. However, the firm observed that the rate of cloud migrations was good but not exceptional.

Mizuho anticipates only a slight potential for revenue to surpass both their own and Wall Street's forecasts for the fourth fiscal quarter. The firm also stands by its assessment that the revenue and non-GAAP operating margin estimates for the fiscal year 2025 might be somewhat overestimated at the outset.

The slight decrease in the price target to $220 reflects the firm's tempered expectations, down from the earlier $225 mark. Mizuho's overall positive stance on Atlassian remains unchanged, suggesting confidence in the company's ongoing performance despite the minor adjustments to the forecast.

In other recent news, Atlassian Corporation Plc reported a significant quarter of growth and strategic milestones, including a threefold increase in paid cloud seats since the phase-out of server support 3.5 years ago.

Co-CEO Scott Farquhar announced his departure set for August 31, 2024, which marks the end of his remarkable 23-year tenure. Despite this leadership change, the company highlighted robust cloud revenue growth and a lower-than-expected churn from their server base, suggesting the essential nature of their products.

Atlassian's executives voiced their commitment to innovation and customer success in the cloud and data center sectors, with a confident outlook on long-term growth and margin levels.

In addition, Piper Sandler upgraded the stock rating for Atlassian from Neutral to Overweight and increased the price target to $225. The firm identified a favorable risk/reward balance for Atlassian, as the company's shares have declined to eight times the CY'25E revenue. Piper Sandler expects Atlassian to maintain a sustainable Rule of 50 profile, based on the company's robust fundamental performance.

They also noted that 82% of Data Center seats are utilized by enterprise customers, suggesting strong potential for these customers to drive the next wave of cloud migrations.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of Mizuho's revised outlook for Atlassian Corporation (NASDAQ:TEAM), recent data from InvestingPro offers additional context for investors considering the stock. Atlassian's market capitalization stands at a robust $46.84 billion, reflecting the scale of its operations within the productivity software sector. Despite the challenges of not being profitable over the last twelve months, analysts are optimistic, predicting a return to profitability this year, which aligns with Mizuho's positive rating.

One of the key strengths of Atlassian is its impressive gross profit margin, which reached 81.86% in the last twelve months as of Q3 2024. This high margin underscores the company's ability to maintain cost-effective operations amidst its growth trajectory. Additionally, the company has been trading at a high Price / Book multiple of 41.3, which can be indicative of the market's high expectations for future growth and profitability.

For investors seeking more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro provides additional tips on Atlassian, including insights on its moderate level of debt and its high return over the last decade. To gain access to these valuable insights, use coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription. There are 8 more InvestingPro Tips available that could guide investment decisions regarding Atlassian Corporation.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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