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Mizuho sets Dell stock to outperform with $135 target

EditorLina Guerrero
Published 09/16/2024, 05:25 PM
DELL
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On Monday, Mizuho initiated coverage on Dell Technologies Inc. (NYSE:DELL) with an Outperform rating and a price target of $135. The move comes as generative AI is seen as a key driver of growth and innovation across various markets, leading to an increased demand for AI servers, which are essential for this technological revolution.


According to the analyst from Mizuho, the AI server market is expected to reach approximately $406 billion by the year 2027, expanding at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around 54%. This growth is attributed to the demand from Cloud Service Providers (CSPs), including Hyperscale and Tier 2, as well as enterprise demand.


The coverage highlights that while the AI server market is experiencing exponential growth, there are profitability risks due to factors such as low differentiation, a concentrated customer base, and rising competition. Super Micro Computer, Inc. (NASDAQ:SMCI) is recognized as the current market leader in AI servers but is experiencing challenges including share loss, margin pressure, negative free cash flow (FCF), and internal control issues, as evidenced by delays in their 10-K filings.


In contrast, Dell is viewed as better positioned to capitalize on market opportunities due to its diverse portfolio, which includes servers, PCs, and storage solutions. The company also boasts a stronger balance sheet with robust free cash flow and effective working capital management.


While initiating coverage on Dell with a positive outlook, Mizuho has simultaneously assigned a Neutral rating to Super Micro Computer, Inc. with a price target of $450. The contrasting ratings reflect the differing prospects and positions of the two companies within the rapidly growing AI server market.


In other recent news, Dell Technologies has been the focus of several key developments. The company reported robust growth in its core businesses during its recent earnings call, with the Client Solutions Group and Infrastructure Solutions Group growing 12% and 38% respectively. Dell is also expanding its presence in the artificial intelligence (AI) market, boasting a $3.8 billion backlog in the AI space.


Susquehanna initiated coverage on Dell, issuing a Neutral rating and a price target of $120.00. The firm noted Dell's large scale, recognized brand, and strong internal financing capabilities as key advantages, but expressed concerns about the uncertain economic returns of AI hardware and Dell's strategy for scaling its AI services.


Meanwhile, Evercore ISI maintained a positive outlook on Dell, reiterating an Outperform rating with a $140.00 price target, despite expected gross margin headwinds from a greater mix of AI servers and inflationary component costs.


InvestingPro Insights


As Dell Technologies Inc. (NYSE:DELL) positions itself to leverage the burgeoning AI server market, real-time data from InvestingPro underscores the company's financial health and market performance. Dell's market capitalization stands at a robust $81.06 billion, reflecting investor confidence in its business model. Furthermore, the company's P/E ratio, a key indicator of market expectations of growth, is attractively priced at 20.58. This suggests that Dell's earnings could be undervalued relative to its near-term growth potential, as emphasized by an even lower adjusted P/E ratio for the last twelve months as of Q1 2023 at 17.99.


InvestingPro Tips highlight that Dell's management has been actively buying back shares, signaling a strong belief in the company's value proposition. Moreover, Dell offers a high shareholder yield, which could be appealing to investors seeking returns through both dividends and share repurchases. These strategic moves are particularly relevant as the company navigates the competitive AI server market landscape. Investors can find an additional 16 InvestingPro Tips, offering deeper insights into Dell's financial metrics and market trends, which can be accessed on the InvestingPro platform at https://www.investing.com/pro/DELL.


With analysts revising their earnings expectations downwards for the upcoming period, it is crucial for investors to keep a close eye on Dell's financial performance. Nonetheless, Dell's significant return over the last week and the prediction of profitability this year by analysts could indicate potential for short-term gains. These insights, derived from InvestingPro, provide a comprehensive view of Dell's market position and future outlook, which is essential for informed investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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