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Mizuho raises Brookfield Renewable target to $27 from $25

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 09/25/2024, 01:29 PM
BEP
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On Wednesday, Mizuho maintained a Neutral rating on Brookfield Renewable Energy (NYSE:BEP) but increased the stock's price target to $27.00 from the previous $25.00. The adjustment came after the firm's analyst attended Brookfield's Investor Day in Toronto.

The company has confirmed its commitment to a 5-9% distribution Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) and plans to continue selling assets in non-core geographies to recycle capital. Brookfield Renewable is shifting its focus towards signing Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) with corporate customers, aiming for approximately 50% of its capacity to be under contract with corporates by 2029.

The company's strategic move towards corporate contracts comes as corporate customers are increasingly demanding energy supplies, often at higher prices than traditional utility contracts. This shift represents a change from Brookfield Renewable's traditional strategy of contracting mainly with utilities. The firm's target to allocate $8-9 billion in capital through 2029 has been revised upwards from the previously stated $7-8 billion through 2028.

The updated price target reflects a lowered Discounted Dividend Model (DDM) discount rate to 10% from the former 11%, indicating a reduced risk profile for Brookfield Renewable. Despite the positive developments and growth initiatives, Mizuho's stance remains unchanged, citing that the current share price fully accounts for the company's asset recycling efforts and growth potential.

In other recent news, Brookfield Renewable has reported considerable growth in its renewable development projects and strategic acquisitions. The company's advanced-stage development backlog has escalated to 65 gigawatts, indicating a substantial expansion in its renewable initiatives. Additionally, Brookfield Renewable is set to acquire a 53.32% controlling interest in Neoen, a France-based renewable energy company, a move expected to enhance its renewable development presence in Europe.

The acquisition is anticipated to be finalized by the fourth quarter, and the company has also expressed interest in acquiring the remaining 47% share of Neoen. This move comes after the company reported a strong start to the year in its first-quarter earnings report, highlighting strategic growth in digitalization and artificial intelligence sectors.

In analyst-related news, National Bank Financial, BMO Capital Markets, and RBC Capital Markets have all revised their price targets for Brookfield Renewable, reflecting the company's robust position in the renewable energy market. However, Mizuho Securities adjusted its price target for Brookfield Renewable down to $25.00 from the previous $27.00, maintaining a Neutral rating on the stock. This adjustment was made considering the company's stock trading at a 27% premium compared to its developer peers.

Lastly, Brookfield Renewable disclosed its Q2 financial results, indicating stable growth and a solid financial standing. These are recent developments in the company's operations and strategic initiatives.


InvestingPro Insights


As Brookfield Renewable (NYSE:BEP) continues to adapt its business strategy, recent data from InvestingPro provides a snapshot of the company's financial health and market performance. With a market capitalization of $13.19 billion, Brookfield Renewable is navigating through a significant debt burden while maintaining a commitment to shareholder returns, as evidenced by a dividend yield of 5.21%. The company has a track record of raising its dividend for 9 consecutive years, underscoring its dedication to providing consistent returns to investors.

While the company's P/E ratio stands at a challenging -57.23, reflecting concerns over profitability, analysts do anticipate sales growth in the current year, with revenue growth over the last twelve months reaching 13.21%. This aligns with Brookfield Renewable's strategic focus on expanding its Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) with corporate customers. Additionally, the stock has shown resilience with a strong return over the last month, at 13.43%. This could suggest investor confidence in the company's strategic shifts and growth prospects.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Brookfield Renewable operates with a significant debt burden, which may impact its ability to make interest payments. However, the company's consistent dividend payments, including a dividend growth of 5.19% over the last twelve months, reflect a commitment to shareholder returns. For investors seeking more in-depth analysis and additional tips, there are 14 more InvestingPro Tips available, providing a comprehensive look at Brookfield Renewable's financial metrics and market position. These tips can be found at the InvestingPro platform, offering a valuable resource for making informed investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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