Mizuho maintains Outperform rating on Atlassian with no price target change

EditorTanya Mishra
Published 09/18/2024, 12:51 PM
TEAM
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Mizuho Securities has maintained its Outperform rating on Atlassian (NASDAQ:TEAM) Corporation (NASDAQ: TEAM), with a steady price target of $190.00.

The firm's analysis follows Atlassian's announcement of price adjustments to its cloud-based products, including its flagship offerings Jira Software, Confluence, and Jira Service Management (JSM). These changes are set to take effect on October 16.

Atlassian has not only revised prices for its main cloud services but has also increased prices for several other cloud products for the first time.

The adjustments are slightly more substantial than expected, with an estimated mid-single-digit percentage increase, compared to similar adjustments made last year.

Additionally, Atlassian has introduced consumption-based pricing models for JSM's Premium and Enterprise service tiers. This new pricing strategy is anticipated to contribute positively to the company's financial performance starting from the fiscal year 2026 onwards.

Mizuho's outlook on Atlassian's growth potential remains positive, citing the company's pricing power and the expected significant migrations from Data Center to Cloud platforms in the coming years.

In other recent news, Atlassian Corporation Plc reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2024, with revenues reaching $4.4 billion and free cash flow exceeding $1.4 billion.

The company's customer base has grown to over 300,000, bolstered by new products like Atlassian Intelligence, Compass, and virtual agents for Jira Service Management. Despite a slower growth in cloud revenues and macroeconomic uncertainties, Atlassian remains confident in its long-term growth strategy, targeting over $10 billion in annual revenue.

In other recent developments, Scott Farquhar, co-CEO of Atlassian, will be stepping down from his role and transitioning to a board member and special advisory position. The company maintains a risk-adjusted and prudent outlook for FY25, factoring in potential macroeconomic challenges. Atlassian is also committed to a three-year 20%+ compound annual growth rate in revenue, even though cloud revenue growth is anticipated to decelerate in FY25.

Atlassian's acquisition of Loom is expected to bolster cloud revenue growth in FY25, and the company's cloud security capabilities are reportedly attracting government and defense customers. However, the company is also anticipating continued pressure on paid seat expansion in FY25.


InvestingPro Insights


Atlassian Corporation's (NASDAQ:TEAM) recent price adjustments and strategic shifts are drawing attention from investors and analysts alike. With a market cap of $40.52 billion, the company's financial health and future prospects are of keen interest. Notably, Atlassian's gross profit margin impresses at 81.57% for the last twelve months as of Q4 2024, underscoring the company's ability to maintain profitability in its operations. This aligns with Mizuho Securities' positive outlook, as high gross profit margins often indicate strong pricing power and efficient cost management—key factors in Atlassian's growth story.

Despite not having turned a profit over the last twelve months, with a P/E ratio of -134.35, analysts predict that Atlassian will become profitable this year. This forward-looking optimism is reflected in the company's revenue growth, which stands at 23.31% for the last twelve months as of Q4 2024. This growth momentum is critical for investors considering the long-term potential of Atlassian, especially as the company ventures into consumption-based pricing models that could further enhance revenue streams.

InvestingPro Tips suggest that Atlassian is trading at a high revenue valuation multiple, indicating high expectations from the market regarding its future growth. With 12 analysts having revised their earnings downwards for the upcoming period, it's essential for investors to monitor the company's performance closely. For those seeking a deeper dive into Atlassian's financials and future outlook, additional tips are available on InvestingPro, with a total of 9 tips listed to provide a comprehensive analysis.

As the company approaches its next earnings date on October 31, 2024, investors will be keen to see how the recent pricing strategy adjustments will impact Atlassian's financials and whether the company's strategic initiatives align with the positive growth trajectory anticipated by Mizuho Securities.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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