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Mizuho maintains Outperform rating on Alkermes stock, optimistic on narcolepsy drug

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 10/01/2024, 07:24 AM
ALKS
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On Tuesday, Mizuho Securities expressed a positive outlook on Alkermes (NASDAQ:ALKS), maintaining an Outperform rating and a $35.00 price target for the biopharmaceutical company's stock. The affirmation follows recent developments from Takeda Pharmaceutical Company (NYSE:TAK) regarding its narcolepsy medication, which may have implications for Alkermes' treatment in the same drug class.

Last Friday, at the SLEEP Europe conference held on September 27, Takeda presented compelling new findings from a Phase 2 study of their narcolepsy drug TAK-861.

The study results indicated significant improvements in cognitive impairment, REM sleep architecture, and potential cardiovascular benefits for patients with narcolepsy type 1 (NT1). These improvements are believed to stem from the drug's mechanism of action, which targets the underlying orexin deficiency in NT1.

Takeda's TAK-861 is part of a class of drugs known as orexin 2 receptor (OX2R) agonists. The positive study outcomes suggest that this class of medications could transform the treatment landscape for narcolepsy. Given the shared mechanism of action, these findings are particularly relevant for Alkermes and its OX2R agonist, ALKS-2680.

The data presented by Takeda has reinforced the potential for OX2R agonists to address not just symptoms but the root cause of narcolepsy. The ability of TAK-861 to improve cognitive function across various domains and to potentially mitigate cardiovascular comorbidities by restoring nocturnal blood pressure dipping is a significant advancement in the field.

Alkermes' involvement in the development of OX2R agonists positions the company to potentially benefit from the positive data surrounding Takeda's TAK-861. As the class of drugs continues to show promise, Alkermes remains a company of interest for investors and industry observers alike.

In other recent news, Alkermes has made significant strides in its financial performance and drug development. The company's Q2 2024 revenue reached a robust $399 million, primarily driven by strong sales of proprietary products Lybalvi and Aristada. Analyst firms Baird and H.C. Wainwright have raised their share targets for Alkermes, reflecting a positive outlook on the company's performance.

Alkermes has also initiated the Vibrance-2 phase 2 clinical trial to evaluate the safety and efficacy of its investigational drug ALKS 2680 for adults with narcolepsy type 2. This trial is part of Alkermes' broader effort to innovate within the field of neuroscience. Piper Sandler, Mizuho, and Jefferies have maintained positive ratings on Alkermes, citing the potential of ALKS-2680 as a leading treatment for narcolepsy.

Furthermore, Alkermes is considering further development of ALKS-2680 for idiopathic hypersomnia (IH), based on the unmet need and positive feedback from patient groups and clinicians following Phase 1b data. The company is also exploring the potential of OX2 in other indications, such as neurodegenerative and neurodevelopmental diseases, where disrupted sleep is a clinical feature.

InvestingPro Insights

Alkermes' (NASDAQ:ALKS) position in the promising field of OX2R agonists is complemented by a solid financial foundation, as revealed by recent InvestingPro data. The company's market capitalization stands at $4.61 billion, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.29, suggesting a reasonable valuation relative to its earnings.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Alkermes holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, indicating financial stability as it pursues innovative treatments like ALKS-2680. This strong liquidity position is further supported by the fact that the company's liquid assets exceed its short-term obligations, providing flexibility for research and development initiatives.

Additionally, Alkermes has demonstrated profitability over the last twelve months, with analysts predicting continued profitability this year. This financial health aligns well with the company's potential in the narcolepsy treatment market, as discussed in the article.

For investors seeking a deeper understanding of Alkermes' financial position and growth prospects, InvestingPro offers 9 additional tips, providing a comprehensive view of the company's potential in the evolving biopharmaceutical landscape.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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