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Mizuho downgrades Zscaler stock amid execution risks and leadership changes

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 07/16/2024, 06:27 AM
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On Tuesday, Mizuho Securities adjusted its stance on Zscaler Inc (NASDAQ:ZS) stock, a company specializing in cloud-based information security. The firm moved its rating from Outperform to Neutral, maintaining its price target of $220.00.

The securities firm recognized Zscaler's strong performance over the past few years, even in the face of a challenging macroeconomic environment. Mizuho noted Zscaler's solid positioning within the Secure Access Service Edge (SASE) sector and lauded the company's impressive platform capabilities and architectural innovations.

However, concerns were raised regarding Zscaler's ability to secure large, transformative deals moving forward consistently. These doubts stem from the current macroeconomic climate and an intensifying competitive landscape in the SASE market.

Additionally, the recent departure of Zscaler's Chief Operating Officer, Dali Rajic, and many sales personnel have been identified as a potential risk to the company's operational execution.

The decision to downgrade comes after Zscaler's shares experienced a significant recovery, surging by 31% since the company reported its third-quarter earnings in late May.

Despite this rebound, Mizuho has chosen to adopt a more cautious outlook on the stock's future performance, leading to a Neutral rating while keeping the price target unchanged.

In other recent news, Zscaler, a leader in cloud security, has been the subject of numerous analyst notes. TD Cowen reiterated a Buy rating for Zscaler, highlighting the company's strategic growth through organic development and acquisitions, which has increased its serviceable addressable market to an estimated $100 billion. BofA Securities, Scotiabank, BMO Capital Markets, and Piper Sandler also maintained positive outlooks on Zscaler, with price targets ranging from $208 to $270.

Zscaler's recent Q3 results marked the company's first instance of GAAP profitability. They showed a 30% year-over-year increase in billings and a record operating margin. The company also reported a robust Dollar-Based Net Retention rate and a 31% year-over-year growth in customers, with an annual recurring revenue of over $1 million.

Furthermore, Zscaler announced expanded collaborations with Google (NASDAQ:GOOGL) and NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA). The partnership with Google aims to enhance Zero Trust security measures, providing improved threat and data protection for enterprise users.

In conjunction with NVIDIA, Zscaler plans to integrate advanced AI technologies to bolster its cybersecurity services. These recent developments highlight Zscaler's strategic direction and robust financial performance.

InvestingPro Insights

As Mizuho Securities adjusts its rating on Zscaler Inc (NASDAQ:ZS), investors might consider additional metrics and insights from InvestingPro. With a market capitalization of $30.91 billion, Zscaler's gross profit margin stands out at an impressive 77.94% for the last twelve months as of Q3 2023, reflecting the company's strong platform capabilities mentioned by Mizuho. Moreover, the firm's revenue has grown by 37.16% during the same period, aligning with analysts' anticipation of sales growth in the current year. This growth narrative is further supported by the fact that 34 analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, indicating a positive outlook on the company's financial future.

Investors should note that while Zscaler does not pay a dividend to shareholders, the company has demonstrated a strong return over the last three months, with a 17.3% price total return, which may attract growth-focused investors. Additionally, the company's liquid assets exceed its short-term obligations, which could provide some financial flexibility in the current uncertain economic environment.

For those looking to delve deeper into Zscaler's potential, there are more InvestingPro Tips available, offering a comprehensive analysis of the company's financial health and stock performance. By using the coupon code PRONEWS24, readers can get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription, unlocking access to valuable insights that could inform investment decisions. Visit InvestingPro for Zscaler to explore additional tips, including the company's anticipated net income growth and profitability predictions for this year.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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