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Marinus shares steady on solid ZTALMY sales, $10 target

EditorLina Guerrero
Published 08/13/2024, 06:13 PM
MRNS
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On Tuesday, JMP Securities maintained a Market Outperform rating and a $10.00 price target for Marinus (NASDAQ:MRNS) Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:MRNS), reflecting confidence in the company's growth trajectory. Marinus Pharmaceuticals recently reported its second-quarter financial results for 2024, coupled with a business update that highlighted the successful commercial execution of ZTALMY and the progression of its pipeline programs.

The company's U.S. sales of ZTALMY reached approximately $8 million, surpassing JMP Securities' estimate of $7.3 million. This performance signals a positive outlook for the company as it continues to focus on the commercialization of its products. The firm is particularly attentive to the upcoming Phase 3 results for oral ganaxolone in treating tuberous sclerosis complex (TSC), expected by mid-fourth quarter of 2024, which could serve as a significant catalyst for the company.

Marinus concluded the second quarter of 2024 with around $65 million in cash reserves. Management has reassured that this amount is expected to sufficiently fund the company's operations into the second quarter of 2025. This financial stability is crucial as Marinus Pharmaceuticals aims to continue its research and development efforts without immediate financial constraints.

The reaffirmed $10 price target is risk-adjusted and derived from a discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. This valuation method considers the present value of Marinus Pharmaceuticals' projected future cash flows, adjusted for the risk associated with the company's business model and industry.

In other recent news, Marinus Pharmaceuticals reported significant developments in its clinical trials and revenue. The company revealed its Q2 2024 revenue for Ztalmy at $8 million, aligning with Truist Securities' estimates. The full-year sales forecast for 2024 stands between $33 to $35 million. Marinus also maintained its Buy rating with Truist Securities, reflecting confidence in the company's ongoing clinical programs.

Marinus has received approval from the China National Medical Products Administration for its ganaxolone oral suspension, a treatment for epileptic seizures in patients with CDKL5 deficiency disorder. The company also completed enrollment for its global Phase 3 TrustTSC clinical trial, evaluating the effectiveness of oral ganaxolone in treating seizures associated with tuberous sclerosis complex.

Further, Marinus announced the issuance of a new method of use patent for ganaxolone in the treatment of TSC by the United States Patent and Trademark Office, set to expire in 2040.

InvestingPro Insights

Marinus Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:MRNS) has shown resilience with its recent financial performance, particularly with the sales of ZTALMY. This is reflected in the company's revenue growth over the last twelve months, which stands at a robust 30.53%. However, it's important to note that Marinus is facing challenges, as indicated by InvestingPro Tips. Analysts have revised their earnings downward for the upcoming period, and the company is not expected to be profitable this year. Additionally, Marinus has been grappling with weak gross profit margins, which were -246.64% for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024.

From a valuation standpoint, the market capitalization of Marinus is currently at $65.37M, with a negative price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of -0.45, suggesting investor concerns about the company's profitability. The stock's performance has also been under pressure, trading near its 52-week low and experiencing a significant price drop of over 80% in the past year. Despite these headwinds, Marinus does maintain a level of financial flexibility, as its liquid assets exceed short-term obligations, providing some cushion for its operations.

For a deeper dive into Marinus Pharmaceuticals' financial health and future prospects, there are 11 additional InvestingPro Tips available on InvestingPro. These insights could be particularly valuable to investors as they assess the potential impact of the upcoming Phase 3 TSC results on the company's growth trajectory and stock valuation.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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