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Lumentum stock poised for growth as GPU demand surges, says Jefferies

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 08/15/2024, 06:18 AM
LITE
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On Thursday, Lumentum Holdings Inc . (NASDAQ:LITE) stock received a revised price target from Jefferies. The new target is set at $65.00, up from the previous $53.00, while the Buy rating on the remains unchanged.

The adjustment comes on the heels of the company's recent announcement of a new 800G Cloud Provider win, which was discussed during their latest earnings call.

The firm's analyst cited June as the lowest point for the company's recent performance, suggesting an upward trend is expected. The optimism is partly due to the growing need for longer-reach, single-mode transceivers that are essential for larger GPU clusters. These transceivers are based on externally modulated lasers (EML) and continuous-wave (CW) lasers, technologies in which Lumentum specializes.

Lumentum's role in the market is expanding as it provides designs for these transceivers, which are becoming increasingly critical for high-performance computing applications. The company's announcement of securing a new 800G Cloud Provider customer is seen as a significant development that adds to the positive outlook.

The analyst also pointed out that Lumentum operates a business with a high fixed-cost structure, which implies substantial operating leverage. This means that as revenue increases, a larger portion of it can contribute to profit growth due to the relatively stable nature of the company's fixed costs.

The update on Lumentum's stock comes after the company's latest earnings call, where it shared details about its recent win and provided insights into its business strategy and performance. The raised price target reflects a confidence in the company's potential for growth in the face of increasing demand for its specialized laser technologies.

In other recent news, Lumentum Holdings, a key player in the optical and photonic products industry, has reported robust fourth-quarter earnings for the fiscal year 2024. The company's earnings and revenue have exceeded the midpoint of their guidance.

Lumentum has experienced a surge in orders for Datacom chips and is actively broadening its customer base in the data center market. Despite facing hurdles in the cloud and networking segment, the company remains optimistic about its growth trajectory.

Lumentum is also focusing on enhancing its production capacity and leveraging innovative technologies to support data center compute scaling. The company has set a goal to increase its quarterly revenue to $500 million by the end of 2025.

In line with this, Lumentum is investing in new cloud and AI opportunities to significantly boost its cloud business. These are some of the recent developments within the company.

Lumentum's CEO, Alan Lowe, discussed the company's path to achieving its revenue target, highlighting growth from various areas including EML chips, datacom optical switching, and transceivers. The company's acquisition of Cloud Light is expected to expedite high-speed transceiver production and contribute to substantial revenue growth.

InvestingPro Insights

Following the upbeat analysis from the brokerage firm, Lumentum Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:LITE) presents a mixed picture according to the latest InvestingPro data and tips. Despite a challenging past year with a revenue decline of 21.81% as of Q3 2024, the company's liquid assets surpass its short-term obligations, indicating a solid liquidity position. This financial stability is crucial as Lumentum navigates through a period where analysts predict a sales decline in the current year.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that while the company has not been profitable over the last twelve months, analysts are optimistic about Lumentum's profitability in the coming year. Additionally, the company's aggressive share buyback strategy signals a management belief in the intrinsic value of the stock, even as it trades at a high EBITDA valuation multiple. This information could be especially relevant for investors considering the company's future prospects in light of its recent 800G Cloud Provider win.

Furthermore, Lumentum's market capitalization stands at $3.08 billion, with a negative P/E ratio reflecting the recent lack of profitability. However, with a fair value estimate from analysts at $54, which is higher than the InvestingPro fair value of $33.53, investors may want to delve deeper into the company's valuation and growth potential. For those interested in a more detailed analysis, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available, which can provide further guidance on the company's financial health and future outlook.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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