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Loop Capital boosts Pegasystems stock outlook after court win

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 08/01/2024, 04:57 AM
PEGA
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On Thursday, Loop Capital upgraded Pegasystems (NASDAQ:PEGA) stock to Buy from Hold, setting a new price target at $84, up from $68.

This change follows a recent legal victory for the company, where the Virginia Court of Appeals overturned a previous $2 billion verdict against Pegasystems.

The analyst from Loop Capital believes that the court's decision is a significant positive development for the company's long-term outlook. This outcome is seen as the best possible scenario for Pegasystems, eliminating a major obstacle that had been consuming the company's focus. With this distraction removed, management can now fully dedicate its resources to executing its growth strategy.

The upgrade is also supported by the company's improving sales execution and financial performance. Additionally, there is growing interest in Pegasystems' GenAI Blueprint solution.

The analyst points out that Pegasystems' valuation is relatively low, with a 3.2x enterprise value to revenue (EV/Revenue) and a 12x enterprise value to free cash flow (EV/FCF) based on the 2026 estimates.

The new price target of $84 implies a valuation of nearly 4x EV/Revenue and 15x EV/FCF, which, according to the analyst, is still below the valuation multiples of its peers.

This gap suggests there is room for the stock's valuation to grow, potentially leading to an expansion of its multiples above the current levels.

In other recent news, Pegasystems has been the subject of several analyst upgrades following a major legal victory. The Virginia Court of Appeals overturned a previous $2 billion verdict against the company, leading to a new trial.

This development has been positively received by analysts, with Loop Capital, JMP Securities, JPMorgan, and RBC Capital all raising their price targets for Pegasystems to $84, $85, $83, and $90 respectively.

The legal victory has been viewed as a significant positive for Pegasystems, lifting a major uncertainty that had been weighing on the company.

Additionally, the company's robust financial performance has also been noted, with Pegasystems reporting a 13% year-over-year increase in annual contract value (ACV) in constant currency, exceeding $1.3 billion. The company's free cash flow reached $218 million, a substantial 62% of Pega's $350 million target for 2024.

Innovation also remains at the forefront for Pegasystems, with the company's GenAI Blueprint solution gaining interest. This, coupled with the company's improving sales execution, has led to these recent positive analyst assessments.

These developments provide a clearer outlook for Pegasystems' future, highlighting the company's ongoing growth and potential for further expansion.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent developments in Pegasystems' legal and financial landscape have caught the attention of analysts and investors alike. According to InvestingPro data, Pegasystems boasts a robust revenue growth of 15.43% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, signaling a strong performance in its sector. The company's Gross Profit Margin during the same period stands at an impressive 74.77%, underscoring its ability to maintain profitability amidst competitive pressures.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Pegasystems is expected to see net income growth this year, which aligns with the positive sentiment surrounding the company's recent legal victory and sales execution improvements. Additionally, the stock is trading at a low P/E ratio relative to near-term earnings growth, suggesting that it may be undervalued given its growth prospects. For readers interested in a deeper analysis, there are 15 additional InvestingPro Tips available, providing a comprehensive view of Pegasystems' financial health and market position.

With a market capitalization of $5.95 billion and a forward-looking P/E ratio of 37.28, Pegasystems is positioning itself as an attractive investment opportunity. The company's share price is also trading near its 52-week high, reflecting investor confidence in its future. For those considering a stake in Pegasystems, these metrics and insights from InvestingPro could be a valuable resource in making an informed investment decision.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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