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Lamb Weston target raised on JANA Partners stake

EditorTanya Mishra
Published 10/18/2024, 02:01 PM
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TD Cowen adjusted its outlook on Lamb Weston Holdings Inc (NYSE:LW), increasing the price target to $79.00 from the previous $67.00, while maintaining a Hold rating on the stock. The revision follows the revelation of a significant investment by JANA Partners, as detailed in a recent Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filing.

The disclosed SEC file indicated that JANA Partners has acquired a 5% stake in the food processing company. In collaboration with Continental Grain, JANA intends to engage with Lamb Weston's Board of Directors to explore strategic alternatives and other matters.

The analyst from TD Cowen interpreted the involvement of the activist investor as a positive development for Lamb Weston. The presence of JANA Partners is expected to create a sense of urgency within the company to enhance its performance, which has been reflected in the increased price target.

Lamb Weston, known for its production of frozen potato products, may experience shifts in its operational strategies as discussions with JANA Partners and Continental Grain unfold. The investment by JANA Partners signals potential changes ahead for the company, though the specifics of these strategic alternatives remain to be seen.

The updated price target of $79.00 represents an upward revision by TD Cowen based on the potential impact of the new investment and ensuing strategic discussions. Lamb Weston's stock performance and future direction will be closely watched as the company responds to the involvement of its new activist investor.

Lamb Weston has been experiencing significant developments. Activist investor Jana Partners has acquired a 5% stake in Lamb Weston, advocating for operational efficiency enhancements and potential sale considerations. Meanwhile, Lamb Weston has been facing challenges such as a reduced annual profit forecast and job cuts due to decreased restaurant industry spending and growing international competition.

In the realm of financial analysis, JPMorgan has downgraded Lamb Weston's stock from Overweight to Neutral, citing concerns over restaurant demand, demand forecasting, and supply-demand dynamics. On the other hand, Barclays has increased its price target on Lamb Weston shares from $70.00 to $74.00, maintaining an Overweight rating. The adjustment reflects Barclays' confidence in Lamb Weston's capacity management measures, which are expected to improve its North American capacity utilization rates.

In terms of earnings, Lamb Weston reported mixed Q1 results for fiscal year 2025. The company saw a slight 1% decline in total sales year-over-year, while exceeding sales expectations due to an improved volume and price mix. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was recorded at $290 million, a decrease from the previous year, primarily due to higher manufacturing costs and a product withdrawal.

InvestingPro Insights

To complement TD Cowen's analysis of Lamb Weston Holdings Inc (NYSE:LW), recent data from InvestingPro offers additional context. The company's market capitalization stands at $11.1 billion, with a P/E ratio of 18.2, indicating a moderate valuation relative to earnings. Lamb Weston's revenue for the last twelve months reached $6.46 billion, with a healthy revenue growth of 9.61% over the same period.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Lamb Weston has raised its dividend for 8 consecutive years, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder returns that may be of interest to JANA Partners and other investors. This consistent dividend growth, coupled with a current dividend yield of 2.03%, could be a factor in discussions about capital allocation and shareholder value.

Another relevant InvestingPro Tip notes that Lamb Weston's liquid assets exceed short-term obligations, suggesting a strong financial position that could provide flexibility as the company explores strategic alternatives with its new activist investors.

For readers interested in a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 6 additional tips for Lamb Weston, providing deeper insights into the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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