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Lamb Weston stock downgraded by TD Cowen over market share and pricing concerns

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 07/25/2024, 05:57 AM
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On Thursday, TD Cowen adjusted its stance on Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:LW) stock, shifting the rating from Buy to Hold. Accompanying this rating change, the firm also reduced the price target significantly to $61 from the previous $105.

The decision to downgrade comes after the anticipated benefits of a constrained potato processing industry, which were expected to bolster Lamb Weston's pricing power and profitability, did not materialize as predicted. The company's strategy to improve its product mix by moving away from less profitable ventures has also not yielded the expected results.

Lamb Weston's forecast for the fiscal year 2025 suggests the company is facing challenges. In particular, the need to offer price reductions to recapture market share is highlighted against a backdrop of decreasing volume, indicating a tougher competitive landscape.

The reduced price target of $61 reflects a notable shift in expectations, down from the previously set target of $105. This new target is informed by the recent developments and the revised outlook for the company's financial performance.

The update from TD Cowen underscores a recalibration of Lamb Weston's projected market position and financial health, as the company navigates through its current industry dynamics.

In other recent news, Lamb Weston has experienced a series of significant developments. The company reported disappointing fourth-quarter fiscal year 2024 sales and earnings, leading to a less than favorable outlook for fiscal year 2025. As a result, Citi reaffirmed its Buy rating but reduced the price target from $104.00 to $72.00.

Meanwhile, Stifel downgraded Lamb Weston's stock from Buy to Hold, citing a weaker-than-expected profit forecast and potential for increased industry competition. The firm also slashed its price target from $115 to $60.

Despite these challenges, analysts' earnings per share (EPS) forecasts remain robust, with projections of 5.48 for FY1 and 6.54 for FY2, indicating expectations of solid earnings growth.

TD Cowen and Barclays Capital Inc. have maintained their positive outlook on Lamb Weston, with TD Cowen keeping its Buy rating and $105 price target, and Barclays consistently giving an "Overweight" rating. These recent developments underscore the evolving business landscape for Lamb Weston as it navigates the fiscal year ahead.

InvestingPro Insights

Amidst the recent rating downgrade by TD Cowen, Lamb Weston Holdings (NYSE:LW) appears to be navigating through a period of market recalibration. InvestingPro data indicates a market capitalization of $8.11 billion, with a current P/E ratio of 15.79, suggesting a valuation that is moderate relative to earnings. Notably, the stock is trading at a low earnings multiple compared to the adjusted P/E ratio of the last twelve months as of Q4 2024, which stands at 10.79.

InvestingPro Tips for Lamb Weston reveal a mixed bag of signals. The company has a track record of raising its dividend for 7 consecutive years, indicating a commitment to returning value to shareholders. Additionally, the stock's recent performance shows it trading near its 52-week low, which could be of interest to value investors looking for potential entry points. However, it's important to note that 2 analysts have revised their earnings downwards for the upcoming period, reflecting the challenges highlighted in the article.

For investors seeking a deeper analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips on Lamb Weston's financial health and future prospects. By using the coupon code PRONEWS24, readers can get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription to access these comprehensive insights. With more tips available on InvestingPro, investors can make more informed decisions in this volatile market environment.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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