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Knight Transportation stock target raised, reiterates buy on steady outlook

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 10/24/2024, 09:32 AM
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On Thursday, TD Cowen maintained a positive stance on Knight Transportation (NYSE:KNX) shares, raising the stock's price target slightly to $56 from $55 while reiterating a Buy rating. The firm's analyst highlighted that the company's third-quarter performance met expectations and maintained its fourth-quarter guidance in line with estimates.

The analyst underscored the balance achieved by Knight Transportation as higher contractual rates helped to counterbalance increased network costs, which is expected to lead to improved margins following the third quarter.

Knight Transportation's focus on less-than-truckload (LTL) services and its commitment to network expansion and investment were pointed out, despite the margin pressure in the near term (NT). The adjustment in the price target to $56 reflects a confidence in the company's strategy and market position.

Despite the margin pressure, Knight Transportation's dedication to expanding its network and investing in its operations was noted as a strategic move to strengthen its service offering. The company's ability to navigate the elevated costs while maintaining its guidance suggests a stable outlook for the near future.

The analyst's comments indicate that Knight Transportation is poised to continue its steady performance, with the potential for margin improvement as a key factor. The firm's decision to maintain a Buy rating signals a belief in the company's ability to sustain its positive trajectory amid industry challenges.

The updated stock price target of $56 represents a modest increase, signaling cautious optimism about Knight Transportation's prospects. Investors and market watchers will be keeping an eye on the company's performance in the upcoming quarter, as it strives to meet its targets and execute its long-term growth strategy.

In other recent news, Knight-Swift Transportation reported its third-quarter earnings for 2024, surpassing the projections of BofA Securities and consensus estimates despite a year-over-year decline.

The company noted a 1% increase in Truckload revenue per mile between the second and third quarters, exceeding BofA Securities' expectation, and a shift among customers favoring asset-based carriers over brokers. BofA Securities responded by raising Knight-Swift's price target to $58 from $57, while maintaining a Buy rating.

The company's quarterly report also revealed a decline in revenue of 5.3%, excluding fuel surcharges, primarily due to the recent acquisition of U.S. Xpress. Despite this, there was a slight improvement in the consolidated adjusted operating ratio, marking its first increase since 2021. The logistics segment experienced a 9.5% revenue drop, while for the first time in six quarters, intermodal revenue saw growth.

Knight-Swift provided forward-looking guidance for the fourth quarter of 2024 and the first quarter of 2025, with adjusted EPS projected to range from $0.32 to $0.36 and $0.29 to $0.33, respectively.

The company anticipates a gradual market recovery in 2025, with potential rate increases and margin enhancements due to investments in terminal networks, particularly in California, Nevada, and Arizona. These are among the recent developments for the transportation company.

InvestingPro Insights

To complement TD Cowen's analysis, InvestingPro data provides additional context for Knight Transportation's financial position. The company's market capitalization stands at $8.54 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the transportation sector. Knight's revenue growth of 11.57% over the last twelve months and 18.91% in the most recent quarter aligns with the analyst's positive outlook on the company's performance.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Knight Transportation has maintained dividend payments for 21 consecutive years and has raised its dividend for 4 consecutive years, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder returns. This consistent dividend policy could be attractive to income-focused investors, especially given the current dividend yield of 1.21%.

However, it is worth noting that Knight is trading at a high earnings multiple, with a P/E ratio of 126.44. This valuation metric suggests that investors are pricing in significant future growth, which aligns with the company's focus on network expansion and investment mentioned in the article.

For readers interested in a deeper dive into Knight Transportation's financials and future prospects, InvestingPro offers 8 additional tips, providing a more comprehensive analysis of the company's strengths and potential challenges.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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