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KeyBanc raises SEMrush stock target on enterprise growth potential

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 10/02/2024, 10:33 AM
SEMR
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On Wednesday, KeyBanc Capital Markets adjusted its stock price target for SEMrush Holdings, Inc (NYSE:SEMR), a leading online visibility management SaaS platform. The firm increased its target to $21 from the previous $19 while retaining an Overweight rating on the stock.

The adjustment follows SEMrush's Analyst Day, which bolstered KeyBanc's confidence in the company's growth trajectory, particularly its expansion into enterprise customer segments. KeyBanc highlighted the company's success in transitioning enterprise customers to higher revenue tiers.

Currently, SEMrush has 291 customers spending over $50,000, with a significant opportunity to increase the annual recurring revenue (ARR) from the existing base of over 8,000 enterprise customers.

SEMrush's enterprise customers have shown a substantial increase in spending on the platform, with an average of $40,000 to $60,000. KeyBanc pointed out that there is a large potential for growth in ARR per customer, given that many of these enterprise clients currently average an ARR of $7,500.

The company's ability to scale its customers' spending was demonstrated by the growth of the first 70 enterprise customers who upgraded their subscriptions. These customers saw their ARR jump 12 times from $5,000 to an average of $60,000.

KeyBanc's optimism is also supported by SEMrush's financial targets, which include maintaining a revenue compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20% in the near term and achieving a 25% free cash flow margin. These goals are seen as attainable due to the positive financial impact of the company's move up-market.

The firm's revised price target is a reflection of its increased growth expectations for SEMrush, underpinned by the company's evident progress and potential in engaging and monetizing its enterprise customer base.

In other recent news, SEMrush Holdings, Inc. reported a robust 21% year-over-year increase in revenue for the first quarter of 2024, amounting to $85.8 million. This strong performance led to an upward revision of SEMrush's full-year 2024 revenue guidance to between $366 million and $369 million.

The company also announced its acquisition of Ryte, a German SaaS platform specializing in optimizing website user experience, which is expected to complement SEMrush's existing offerings and provide new cross-selling opportunities.

Needham reiterated its Buy rating on SEMrush, maintaining a price target of $18.00, following the company's Analyst Day and the acquisition news. KeyBanc Capital Markets also raised its price target for SEMrush from $17.00 to $19.00, maintaining an Overweight rating, influenced by SEMrush's significant annual recurring revenue growth.

SEMrush's platform and portfolio expansion have opened up a larger market opportunity than previously anticipated, and the company's research and development efforts remain a priority. The firm's analyst expressed optimism about SEMrush's ability to sustain over 20% growth in the near term, supported by the company's differentiated search engine optimization platform and its strategic moves upmarket. These recent developments underline SEMrush's strong position in the market and its ability to deliver consistent growth.

InvestingPro Insights

SEMrush's strong financial position and growth prospects, as highlighted by KeyBanc Capital Markets, are further supported by recent data from InvestingPro. The company's revenue growth remains robust, with a 20.97% increase over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, aligning with KeyBanc's noted 20% CAGR target. This growth is complemented by an impressive gross profit margin of 83.38%, indicating efficient cost management and potential for scalability as the company expands its enterprise customer base.

InvestingPro Tips reveal that SEMrush "holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet" and has "liquid assets exceed short term obligations," which provides financial flexibility to support its growth initiatives and enterprise customer expansion. Moreover, the company's "impressive gross profit margins" corroborate KeyBanc's positive outlook on SEMrush's ability to improve profitability as it scales.

The market seems to recognize SEMrush's potential, with the stock showing a high return of 84.95% over the last year. However, investors should note that the stock is "trading at a high earnings multiple," which may reflect the market's high growth expectations.

For a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 13 additional tips for SEMrush, providing deeper insights into the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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