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JPMorgan skeptical on Kuehne + Nagel stock as EBIT and growth outlook weaken

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 10/30/2024, 05:01 AM
KNIN
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On Wednesday, JPMorgan revised its price target for Kuehne + Nagel International AG (KNIN:SW) (OTC: KHNGY), reducing it to CHF210 from the previous CHF220, while maintaining an Underweight rating on the stock. The adjustment follows the logistics company's third-quarter earnings, which showed weaker-than-expected EBIT results.

Kuehne + Nagel's earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) for the third quarter of 2024 prompted JPMorgan to reassess its projections. The firm's EBIT estimates for the years 2024 through 2026 have been lowered by an average of 4%. This reassessment led to the decreased price target.

The rationale behind the persistent Underweight rating stems from the anticipation of limited organic growth for the company, with an expected earnings per share (EPS) increase of merely 4% from 2025 to 2028.

The report from JPMorgan also highlighted the current volatile market conditions and suggested that the market would likely concentrate on organic developments within Kuehne + Nagel.

This focus comes especially after the company's recent customer portfolio rationalization in its Sea Logistics business and its continued investment strategy aimed at expanding its small and medium-sized enterprise (SME) customer base.

Furthermore, JPMorgan anticipates a gradual normalization of gross profit (GP) rates, primarily in the Sea Logistics sector, as the impact of the Red Sea situation diminishes. Despite these factors, the firm remains cautious regarding the stock's future performance.

Kuehne + Nagel's shares are trading at 23 times the estimated 2025 earnings per share (P/E), and JPMorgan's estimates are over 10% below the consensus for the company's 2025 earnings.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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