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JPMorgan sees upside in Fresenius stock after Q2 beat and restructuring progress

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 09/13/2024, 03:08 AM
FSNUY
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On Friday, JPMorgan upgraded Fresenius SE (ETR:FREG) & Co KGaA (FRE:GR) (OTC: FSNUY (OTC:FSNUY)) stock from Neutral to Overweight, adjusting the price target upward to EUR40.10 from the previous EUR37.60.


According to the analyst at JPMorgan, the healthcare company has halted its earnings compression, marking the fourth consecutive quarter where financial results surpassed expectations.


The analyst noted that the management team at Fresenius has begun to deliver on its promises, indicating a turnaround in the company's underlying business. The firm had previously called for changes in Fresenius's corporate structure in February 2021, acknowledging the significant progress made by the new management in this regard.


Despite potential downside to earnings per share (EPS) from the expected divestment of the Fresenius Medical Care (NYSE:FMS) stake, which contributes approximately 15% to the company's EPS, the market is believed to have already accounted for this.


JPMorgan's valuation of Fresenius, even with conservative assumptions about the sale price of the Fresenius Medical Care stake, suggests that there is still considerable upside potential.


The analyst also highlighted that the divestiture of key underperforming segments, such as Fresenius Medical Care and Vamed, combined with positive developments at Kabi and consistent performance at Helios, has improved the risk-reward profile of Fresenius shares.


Although Kabi and Helios may not be the most synergistic units, progress in simplifying the company's structure and potential for near-term performance upgrades could lead to further stock outperformance, prompting the upgrade to an Overweight rating.


In other recent news, healthcare company Fresenius SE & Co KGaA has seen a positive shift in its stock performance, with Morgan Stanley upgrading the stock from Equalweight to Overweight. The firm also increased the price target to €39.00 from €34.00, indicating a 30% potential upside for the stock.


This upgrade reflects Morgan Stanley's confidence in Fresenius' earnings potential, with revised forecasts showing an increase in earnings per share estimates for the fiscal years 2024, 2025, and 2026.


These developments come on the heels of Fresenius' strategic portfolio simplification program carried out over the past two years. Key moves included the deconsolidation of Fresenius Medical Care and the planned exit from Vamed. The remaining divisions, Kabi and Helios, have shown higher growth and margins, suggesting a potential improvement in operational performance.


These recent events underscore the company's ongoing efforts to streamline operations and focus on core businesses. The upgrade by Morgan Stanley signals investor confidence in the strategic direction of Fresenius SE and its potential for enhanced shareholder value.


InvestingPro Insights


Following JPMorgan's upgrade of Fresenius SE & Co KGaA, InvestingPro data provides additional context to the company's financial health and market performance. With a market capitalization of $21.03 billion and a revenue growth of 4.97% in the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, Fresenius demonstrates a stable upward trajectory in its financials. The company's gross profit margin at 23.09% also showcases its ability to maintain profitability.


InvestingPro Tips highlight that Fresenius is expected to grow its net income this year and that its valuation implies a strong free cash flow yield. These factors, combined with the company's low price volatility and its standing as a prominent player in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry, may offer investors confidence in the stock's potential. Additionally, Fresenius has been able to maintain dividend payments for 31 consecutive years, which speaks to its financial resilience and commitment to shareholder returns, although it should be noted that there has been a dividend growth of -100% in the last twelve months as of Q2 2024.


Investors looking for further insights will find additional InvestingPro Tips on the company's stock performance and future profitability, with a total of 10 tips available at https://www.investing.com/pro/FSNUY. These tips provide a deeper dive into what to expect from Fresenius moving forward, helping to inform investment decisions with a comprehensive view of the company's financial landscape.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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