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JPMorgan maintains AES Overweight rating with $29 target

EditorLina Guerrero
Published 09/18/2024, 04:41 PM
AES
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On Wednesday, JPMorgan reiterated its Overweight rating on AES Corp. (NYSE:AES) with a steady price target of $29.00. The endorsement follows recent investor meetings in San Francisco with AES executives, including Chief Product Officer & President of AES Next, Chris Shelton, and VP of Investor Relations, Susan Harcourt.

The discussions revealed AES's competitive edge through its early adoption of a customer and infrastructure (C&I)-focused strategy, particularly in servicing data centers, and its credible execution in a market that values deliverability.

AES Corp. is recognized for its early entry into the C&I sector, aiming at data centers, which has set it apart in the industry. The company's ability to utilize insights from its commercial team, especially from hyperscalers, is seen as a unique advantage.

These insights are expected to enhance local service territory opportunities within its regulated operations. The firm's presence in Indiana and Ohio has been highlighted for its potential, which remained underappreciated until the previous quarter.

The recent sale of a 30% stake in an Ohio utility by AES is viewed as further evidence of the company's growth strategy. This move is seen as a way to capitalize on emerging opportunities and support increased investment in the burgeoning load potential. JPMorgan anticipates that AES will continue to reveal more utility load announcements, which could serve as additional positive catalysts. These are expected to emerge over the next several quarters, driven by the rapid expansion of data centers.

The quarterly Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) updates from AES, which have historically drawn market interest, are also expected to contribute to the company's positive outlook. With these developments, AES Corp. is positioned as an attractive investment for those looking to gain exposure to the themes of power demand and renewable energy growth.

In other recent news, AES Corporation has been actively reshaping its portfolio to meet future energy demands. The company recently sold a 30% indirect equity interest in its Ohio subsidiary to CDPQ, a Canadian pension fund, for $546 million. This transaction is part of a broader plan to achieve over $2.7 billion from its $3.5 billion asset sale target set for the period of 2023 to 2027.

AES Ohio plans to invest over $1.5 billion from 2024 to 2027 to enhance system reliability, including upgrades to transmission infrastructure and grid modernization. This is expected to meet the increasing demand for power, particularly from AI and data centers, potentially boosting AES Ohio's peak load by over 50% by the end of the decade.

Evercore ISI has maintained its positive outlook on AES Corp shares with an Outperform rating, highlighting the robust transaction multiple for AES's recent sale. Jefferies has also initiated coverage of AES Corp, assigning the stock a Buy rating and recognizing AES's shift towards US renewables and regulated utilities.

In its second-quarter earnings call, AES Corporation reported a strong financial performance, with adjusted EBITDA with tax attributes at $843 million and adjusted EPS at $0.38. The company is on track to meet its 2024 financial goals, with a strong focus on renewable energy and technological advancements in the sector.


InvestingPro Insights


In light of JPMorgan's reaffirmed confidence in AES Corp., real-time data and insights from InvestingPro offer a deeper perspective on the company's financial health and market performance. According to recent metrics, AES Corp. has a market capitalization of $13.72 billion and a P/E ratio of 17.65, suggesting a moderate valuation relative to earnings. Notably, the company has experienced a large price uptick over the last six months, with a 31.84% return, underscoring investor enthusiasm.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that AES Corp. has been raising its dividend for 12 consecutive years, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns. Additionally, three analysts have revised their earnings estimates upwards for the upcoming period, indicating potential optimism about the company's future profitability. For investors seeking more comprehensive analysis, there are over ten additional InvestingPro Tips available, providing a richer understanding of AES Corp.'s investment potential.

These insights complement the article's focus on AES's strategic moves and growth opportunities, offering readers a balanced view of the company's operational strengths alongside its financial metrics. The InvestingPro data and tips provide valuable context for investors considering AES Corp. as part of their investment portfolio.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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