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JPMorgan cuts Public Service Enterprise target on power market views

EditorRachael Rajan
Published 09/30/2024, 04:28 PM
PEG
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On Monday, JPMorgan took a revised stance on Public Service Enterprise Group Inc. (NYSE:PEG), reducing its price target to $102 from the previous $911 while retaining an Overweight rating on the stock.

The adjustment follows recent investor meetings in Boston, where the focus was on Public Service Enterprise Group's outlook following the Three Mile Island (TMI) transaction.

The discussions during the meetings emphasized a distinct division in the hyperscaler market, with nuclear and fossil power sources seen as separate entities. According to the firm, potential gas generation developments in the PJM market are unlikely to compete with the growing demand for nuclear power from decarbonizing hyperscalers. This dynamic is expected to benefit Public Service Enterprise Group, as it could help lower residential energy bills.

Further potential advantages for the company were identified, including over 200 megawatts of potential uprates, the opportunity for permit and land monetization, and extended intervals between maintenance turnarounds. These factors have contributed to a particularly positive investor sentiment, with some attendees considering the meeting to be one of the best they've had with Public Service Enterprise Group in a considerable amount of time.

In other recent news, Public Service Enterprise Group (PSEG) reported a decrease in net income for the second quarter of 2024, with earnings falling to $0.87 per share from $1.18 per share in the same quarter of the previous year. Despite this, the company maintains its full-year expectations and anticipates an increase in gross margin in the fourth quarter.

Analysts at Erste Group and Ladenburg Thalmann have expressed confidence in the company's financial performance, with Erste Group initiating coverage with a Buy rating and Ladenburg Thalmann upgrading the stock to 'Buy'. Jefferies, on the other hand, started with a Hold rating on the company's stock.

The recent developments also include the company's growing involvement in the energy needs of data centers, which is seen as a key driver for its future growth. The company's service territory seems to be attracting interest for new ventures, which could lead to further capacity expansion, particularly in nuclear power. PSEG is also actively supporting New Jersey's economic development through the expansion of data centers and the state's clean energy initiatives. The company plans to update its capital plan at the end of the year or the beginning of the next year, remaining confident in meeting its long-term compound annual growth forecast.

InvestingPro Insights

To complement JPMorgan's analysis of Public Service Enterprise Group Inc. (NYSE:PEG), recent data from InvestingPro provides additional context for investors. PEG's market capitalization stands at $44.47 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the utility sector. The company's P/E ratio of 26.76 suggests that investors are willing to pay a premium for its earnings, possibly due to its strong market position and growth prospects in the nuclear power segment.

InvestingPro Tips highlight PEG's commitment to shareholder returns, noting that the company "has raised its dividend for 12 consecutive years" and "has maintained dividend payments for 54 consecutive years." This track record of consistent dividend growth aligns with the positive investor sentiment mentioned in the JPMorgan report and may be particularly attractive to income-focused investors in the utility sector.

The company's financial performance shows a mixed picture. While PEG has been "profitable over the last twelve months," an InvestingPro Tip indicates that "net income is expected to drop this year." This projection could be related to the market dynamics and strategic shifts discussed in the investor meetings, including the focus on nuclear power and potential gas generation developments.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 11 additional tips for PEG, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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