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J.M. Smucker shares hold steady with $121 target

EditorBrando Bricchi
Published 06/07/2024, 12:44 PM
SJM
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On Friday, J.M. Smucker (NYSE:SJM), a well-known food manufacturer, maintained its Market Perform rating and a steady price target of $121.00, despite mixed quarterly results. The company reported its fourth-quarter financials for the fiscal year 2024, which showed a slight decline in revenue but surpassed expectations in other key financial metrics.

J.M. Smucker's revenue for the quarter was $2,205.7 million, falling short of consensus estimates by 1.7%. The company experienced a year-over-year (YoY) growth of 3% in comparable net sales, attributed to a 2% increase from pricing and a 1% rise from volume and mix. This performance, however, did not meet the anticipated growth of 3.6% and marked a deceleration from the previous quarter's 6% comparable net sales growth.

Despite the revenue miss, J.M. Smucker delivered a strong adjusted gross margin of 40.3%, which was 200 basis points above consensus and represented a significant 580 basis point improvement from the previous year. This indicates a notable enhancement from the 385 basis point YoY increase seen in the last quarter.

Furthermore, the company's adjusted earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) amounted to $461.6 million, exceeding consensus estimates by 6.2% and showcasing a 13.1% increase from the previous year. Additionally, earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter came in at $2.66, beating expectations by 33 cents and registering a modest 0.7% YoY growth.

J.M. Smucker's financial performance reflects a mixed outcome, with revenue not meeting analyst expectations but profitability metrics like gross margin, EBIT, and EPS showing strength. The company's stock rating and price target remain unchanged following the report of these financial results.

In other recent news, J.M. Smucker Company has seen noteworthy developments. The company's fourth-quarter earnings report showed a profit that exceeded expectations, despite sales falling short of internal forecasts. This led TD Cowen to lower the price target for J.M. Smucker to $135, while maintaining a Buy rating. The firm's analyst cited slowing retail trends and underperformance in its Coffee and Hostess segments as reasons for the optimistic 3% organic growth target.

In the company's full-year report, there was an 8% increase in net sales and an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $9.94 for Fiscal 2024, largely due to the acquisition of Hostess Brands (NASDAQ:TWNK). J.M. Smucker anticipates a net sales growth of 2% and an adjusted EPS of $10.00 for Fiscal 2025, despite a 1% decline in net sales in the fourth quarter. The company also projects a net sales growth of 9.5% to 10.5% in Fiscal 2025.

However, the company expects higher commodity costs and expenses for a new Uncrustables facility to impact margins. Despite these potential challenges, J.M. Smucker maintains a positive outlook, planning to prioritize debt reduction while expecting adjusted EPS growth in Fiscal 2026. These recent developments underscore the company's strategic emphasis on popular brands and the integration of Hostess Brands into its portfolio.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of J.M. Smucker's (NYSE:SJM) recent financial performance, which presented a blend of challenges and achievements, a deeper dive into the company's metrics and strategic moves may offer investors further clarity. According to InvestingPro data, J.M. Smucker holds a market capitalization of $12.36 billion, with a P/E ratio that stands at 16.36. This valuation metric suggests a reasonable price for the company's earnings, especially when considering the adjusted P/E ratio for the last twelve months as of Q4 2024 is even lower at 14.32.

Two key InvestingPro Tips that stand out are the company's commitment to shareholder returns, as evidenced by its impressive track record of raising its dividend for 14 consecutive years and maintaining dividend payments for 54 consecutive years. This consistency in rewarding shareholders is particularly noteworthy in the current economic landscape and aligns with the strong dividend yield of 3.68% as of the last reported date.

Moreover, the InvestingPro platform offers additional detailed analysis and tips for investors looking to gain a comprehensive understanding of J.M. Smucker's financial health and prospects. For instance, the platform lists several more tips that can be accessed, providing a broader view of the company's operational efficiency, market position, and future outlook. Interested readers can explore these insights and benefit from a special offer using the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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